Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+134
+245

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-102
u2¼-110

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-123
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+308
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+154
+212

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+106
u2¼-119

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-212
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Torino
Lecce		37.6%
35.3%		27.1%
+206
+188
+180
+190
2
0		-1.14062-1.08114-0.97814
Lazio
Bologna		40.4%
33.5%		26.0%
+156
+245
+150
+225
0
0		-1.10788-1.11590-1.34588
Atalanta
Napoli		15.0%
66.3%		18.7%
+435
-143
+425
-150
0
2		-0.55530-0.55982-0.41125
Udinese
Empoli		41.1%
32.0%		26.9%
+145
+214
+155
+185
1
0		-0.91494-0.98556-0.88943
Inter
Spezia		75.9%
9.1%		15.1%
-240
+747
-245
+700
1
2		-2.16422-2.12410-2.40152
Bologna
Torino		19.0%
59.0%		21.9%
+269
+140
+250
+135
0
1		-0.89624-0.90342-0.52684
Cremonese
Sassuolo		22.0%
54.8%		23.2%
+350
-108
+330
-115
2
3		-0.67446-0.67749-0.60115
Juventus
Roma		31.1%
42.1%		26.7%
+190
+195
+185
+185
0
1		-1.10211-1.09285-0.86441
Lecce
Inter		4.8%
85.1%		10.1%
+785
-239
+750
-260
0
2		-0.37138-0.37459-0.16168
Salernitana
Sampdoria		26.0%
48.3%		25.7%
+254
+132
+245
+125
0
0		-1.19102-1.19789-1.35864
Hellas Verona
Spezia		33.4%
39.8%		26.7%
+222
+155
+205
+150
0
0		-1.16520-1.18061-1.31875
Milan
Fiorentina		38.5%
34.0%		27.5%
+181
+179
+175
+165
1
2		-1.05059-1.02666-1.07763
Udinese
Atalanta		19.3%
59.3%		21.4%
+399
-138
+375
-140
0
0		-1.45320-1.41001-1.54248
Empoli
Monza		19.1%
58.3%		22.6%
+320
-102
+305
+100
1
2		-0.71568-0.74188-0.53984
Lazio
Napoli		10.3%
74.0%		15.7%
+516
-153
+460
-160
1
0		-1.83196-1.77190-2.27400
Torino
Juventus		18.8%
58.2%		23.0%
+505
-137
+475
-145
2
4		-0.56898-0.57471-0.54077
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.