Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-117
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-140

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Sampdoria		62.1%
17.4%		20.5%
-145
+465
-145
+420
1
0		-0.54945-0.57408-0.47647
Milan
Hellas Verona		58.9%
18.9%		22.2%
-182
+535
-190
+550
2
1		-0.47220-0.47164-0.60706
Bologna
Napoli		14.4%
66.6%		19.0%
+1100
-375
+1100
-400
2
3		-0.27118-0.27194-0.40636
Cremonese
Spezia		32.0%
40.5%		27.5%
+202
+154
+210
+145
2
2		-1.21066-1.19448-1.27050
Udinese
Lazio		33.9%
39.4%		26.6%
+199
+138
+215
+125
0
0		-1.32291-1.28884-1.32257
Salernitana
Inter		12.1%
69.4%		18.5%
+887
-335
+950
-360
0
2		-0.28852-0.29558-0.36556
Sassuolo
Atalanta		16.6%
64.6%		18.8%
+454
-155
+400
-150
1
2		-0.53074-0.55961-0.43722
Juventus
Torino		39.2%
32.7%		28.1%
+168
+210
+160
+205
1
0		-1.01338-1.00570-0.93675
Monza
Empoli		40.9%
31.8%		27.3%
+165
+185
+170
+180
0
1		-1.07113-1.05970-1.14542
Lazio
Fiorentina		31.8%
42.2%		26.0%
+210
+143
+200
+140
4
0		-1.15103-1.14599-1.14530
Lecce
Roma		7.6%
79.5%		12.9%
+811
-203
+650
-215
1
2		-0.38211-0.43183-0.22912
Napoli
Cremonese		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
-207
+585
-210
+550
4
1		-0.42445-0.43697-0.34624
Atalanta
Udinese		35.4%
38.1%		26.5%
+204
+149
+190
+140
2
2		-1.26684-1.28844-1.32867
Hellas Verona
Salernitana		34.9%
37.2%		27.9%
+190
+155
+175
+160
1
2		-0.95537-1.00550-0.98851
Spezia
Monza		24.3%
50.9%		24.9%
+301
+100
+310
-115
0
2		-0.71994-0.67712-0.67623
Empoli
Torino		14.2%
66.6%		19.2%
+408
-135
+395
-140
1
1		-1.39408-1.37247-1.64766
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.