Milan at Venezia

Updated

Milan

72.4%12.7%14.9%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.62Projected Goals 0.54
3Final Score 0

Venezia

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Roma+120
W 4-2 at Empoli-120
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
Venezia
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Lazio+330
T 1-1 at Sampdoria+395
T 1-1 vs Juventus+750
L 4-3 vs Hellas Verona+285
L 0-4 at Atalanta+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165-155-170-162-183-170-155-143.2
Venezia+450+400+505+485+499+505+505+461.3
Draw+285+300+315+304+306+315+315+329.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-190----210-170-170-143.2
Venezia+410---+460+480+480+461.3
Draw+260---+270+305+305+329.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Venezia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 10.0%
Venezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Venezia: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -193 to -201
Venezia ML moved from +515 to +505

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Venezia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 10.0%
Venezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Venezia: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -190 to -210
Venezia ML moved from +550 to +480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2¾-115o2¾-120o2½-135-o2¾-120o2½-135o2¾-107
Underu2½+100u2¾-105u2¾+100u2½+120-u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-130--o2½-120o2½-135o2½-120o2¾-107
Underu2½-110u2½+110--u2½-110u2½+115u2½+115u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.6%
 
No61.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.24%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 417.63%
Exactly 65.87%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.41%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.14%
Exactly 72.65%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 07.27%
Exactly 119.06%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 414.30%
Exactly 57.50%
Exactly 63.28%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 80.40%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Venezia
Exactly 058.37%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.15%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 312.08%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 029.71%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Venezia
Exactly 077.94%
Exactly 119.43%
Exactly 22.42%
Exactly 30.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals60.74%
Wins by 3+ goals37.97%
Wins by 4+ goals20.05%
Wins by 5+ goals9.04%
Venezia
Wins by 2+ goals1.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Venezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.05%
Wins by 2 goals22.77%
Wins by 3 goals17.92%
Wins by 4 goals11.00%
Wins by 5 goals5.52%
Venezia
Wins by 1 goal4.32%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.76%4.24%
1.582.35%17.65%
2.561.16%38.84%
3.538.85%61.15%
4.521.23%78.77%
5.510.09%89.91%
6.54.22%95.78%
7.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.73%7.27%
1.573.67%26.33%
2.548.70%51.30%
3.526.87%73.13%
4.512.56%87.44%
5.55.06%94.94%
6.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Venezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.63%58.37%
1.510.20%89.80%
2.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.85%23.15%
1.542.97%57.03%
2.518.19%81.81%
3.56.11%93.89%
4.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Venezia
Score0123
0
4.24%
2.28%
0.61%
0.11%
1
11.12%
5.99%
1.61%
0.29%
2
14.58%
7.85%
2.11%
0.38%
3
12.74%
6.86%
1.85%
0.33%
4
8.35%
4.50%
1.21%
0.22%
5
4.38%
2.36%
0.63%
0.11%
Milan
1-011.12%
2-014.58%
2-17.85%
3-012.74%
3-16.86%
3-21.85%
4-08.35%
4-14.50%
4-21.21%
4-30.22%
5-04.38%
5-12.36%
5-20.63%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-04.24%
1-15.99%
2-22.11%
3-30.33%
Venezia
0-12.28%
0-20.61%
1-21.61%
0-30.11%
1-30.29%
2-30.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Venezia
Score012
0
23.15%
5.77%
0.72%
1
28.10%
7.00%
0.87%
2
17.06%
4.25%
0.53%
3
6.90%
1.72%
0.21%
4
2.09%
0.52%
0.07%
5
0.51%
0.13%
0.02%
6
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Milan
1-028.10%
2-017.06%
2-14.25%
3-06.90%
3-11.72%
3-20.21%
4-02.09%
4-10.52%
5-00.51%
5-10.13%
6-00.10%
Draw
0-023.15%
1-17.00%
2-20.53%
Venezia
0-15.77%
0-20.72%
1-20.87%