Napoli at Milan

Updated

Napoli

31.3%25.6%43.1%
Napoli WinDrawMilan Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Empoli-250
L 3-2 vs Atalanta+170
T 2-2 at Sassuolo-120
W 0-4 vs Lazio-130
L 2-3 at Inter+235
Milan
Money Line
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo-225
L 3-4 at Fiorentina+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+200+250+275+282+254+275+282+280.6
Milan+135+110+105+106+104+105+106+117.9
Draw+240+245+260+265+248+260+265+259.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+210---+190+260+260+280.6
Milan+125---+115+110+115+117.9
Draw+255---+210+240+240+259.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +256 to +245
Milan ML moved from +120 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +275 to +260
Milan ML moved from +120 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-118-o2½-116--o2½-116o2½-105
Underu2¾-118u2½-102-u2½+101--u2½+101u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115--o2½-120o2½-120o2½-115o2½-105
Underu2½-105u2½-105--u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.33%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.25%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.15%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.45%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 033.30%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.82%
Exactly 221.83%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.81%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 060.11%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 049.61%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals23.42%
Wins by 3+ goals9.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal16.90%
Wins by 2 goals7.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.28%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals6.32%
Wins by 4 goals2.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.67%7.33%
1.573.52%26.48%
2.548.50%51.50%
3.526.70%73.30%
4.512.45%87.55%
5.55.00%95.00%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.70%33.30%
1.530.08%69.92%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.18%29.82%
1.534.10%65.90%
2.512.27%87.73%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Milan
Score012345
0
7.33%
11.09%
8.40%
4.24%
1.60%
0.49%
1
8.06%
12.20%
9.23%
4.66%
1.76%
0.53%
2
4.43%
6.71%
5.08%
2.56%
0.97%
0.29%
3
1.62%
2.46%
1.86%
0.94%
0.36%
0.11%
4
0.45%
0.68%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Napoli
1-08.06%
2-04.43%
2-16.71%
3-01.62%
3-12.46%
3-21.86%
4-00.45%
4-10.68%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.33%
1-112.20%
2-25.08%
3-30.94%
Milan
0-111.09%
0-28.40%
1-29.23%
0-34.24%
1-34.66%
2-32.56%
0-41.60%
1-41.76%
2-40.97%
3-40.36%
0-50.49%
1-50.53%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Milan
Score01234
0
29.82%
20.90%
7.33%
1.71%
0.30%
1
15.18%
10.64%
3.73%
0.87%
0.15%
2
3.86%
2.71%
0.95%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.66%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-015.18%
2-03.86%
2-12.71%
3-00.66%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.82%
1-110.64%
2-20.95%
Milan
0-120.90%
0-27.33%
1-23.73%
0-31.71%
1-30.87%
2-30.22%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%