Minnesota at Chicago Cubs

Updated
50.3%
Projected Runs: 5.04
Final Score: 8

Michael Pineda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-00.00.0
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsMIN: Rich Hill • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+105
L 3-4 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Kenta Maeda • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez-161
W 5-1 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Jake Odorizzi • CHW: Lucas Giolito+143
L 2-6 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Randy Dobnak • CHW: Dane Dunning+115
L 1-3 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Jose Berrios • CHW: Dylan Cease-137

Injuries

Status
  • LFBrent RookerOut for Season
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonRest
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
  • 2BLuis Arraez10-day IL
  • DHNelson CruzUnknown

Chicago Cubs

(34-28)
49.7%
Projected Runs: 5.01
Final Score: 1

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-33.931.063
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Rich Hill • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-114
W 2-3 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Aaron Civale • CHC: Jon Lester+110
W 5-6 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • CHC: Yu Darvish-152
W 12-0 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Alec Mills • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Brent Suter-105

Injuries

Status
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
  • PTyler Chatwood10-day IL
  • PRowan Wick10-day IL
ESE 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°59°58°57°
Humidity48%50%50%50%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindESE 6 mphESE 6 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mph
Will Little
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Minnesota-130-125-132-124-130-124-124
Chicago Cubs+120+115+112+114+120+114+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Minnesota-130-128-126-126-130-123-123
Chicago Cubs+120+118+115+116+120+113+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Minnesota ML moved from -127 to -135
Chicago Cubs ML moved from +119 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Minnesota: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Minnesota ML moved from -122 to -130
Chicago Cubs ML moved from +117 to +111

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Minnesota-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135
Chicago Cubs+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Minnesota-1½-110-1½+125-1½+131-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+131
Chicago Cubs+1½-110+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-105o8-115o8-120o8-118o8-120o8-118o8-115
Underu8½-115u8-105u8+100u8-102u8+100u8-102u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-110o8-115o8-116o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115
Underu8½-110u8-105u8-104u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-112 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105