Chi. White Sox at Cincinnati

Updated
50.1%
Projected Runs: 5.17
Final Score: 3

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-23.21.382
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 5-0 at Cincinnati RedsCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CIN: Trevor Bauer+120
L 1-7 at Cincinnati RedsCHW: Jonathan Stiever • CIN: Tyler Mahle+115
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez+157
L 5-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Jake Odorizzi • CHW: Lucas Giolito-148
W 2-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Randy Dobnak • CHW: Dane Dunning-120

Injuries

Status
  • CYasmani GrandalRest
  • PEvan Marshall10-day IL
  • PAaron Bummer60-day IL
  • 2BYoan MoncadaRest
49.9%
Projected Runs: 5.16
Final Score: 7

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
12-14.561.481
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CIN: Trevor Bauer-125
W 1-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Jonathan Stiever • CIN: Tyler Mahle-118
W 0-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Luis Castillo-240
W 1-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Michael Lorenzen-134
W 4-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-145

Injuries

Status
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • PJose De Leon10-day IL
  • PTyler ThornburgOut for Season
ENE 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°71°72°73°
Humidity39%35%34%35%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 8 mphENE 9 mphE 9 mphE 10 mph
Mike Estabrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireVery Strong Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Chi. White Sox -110+117+110+116+120+116+120
Cincinnati+100-127-130-126-130-126-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Chi. White Sox -112+118+120+120+120+120+120
Cincinnati+102-128-131-130-130-130-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chi. White Sox : 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chi. White Sox : 40.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Chi. White Sox : 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chi. White Sox : 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chi. White Sox ML moved from +100 to -103
Cincinnati ML moved from -117 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chi. White Sox : 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chi. White Sox : 40.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Chi. White Sox : 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chi. White Sox : 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chi. White Sox ML moved from -112 to -120
Cincinnati ML moved from -124 to -130

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Chi. White Sox -1½+135+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175
Cincinnati+1½-155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Chi. White Sox -1½+135+1½-175+1½-167+1½-165+1½-190+1½-180+1½-165
Cincinnati+1½-155-1½+155-1½+148-1½+145-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9-110o9½+100o9½+100o9-125o9½+100o9-125o9½+100
Underu9-110u9½-120u9½-120u9+105u9½-120u9+105u9+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-120o9½+100o9-120o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9-120
Underu9+100u9½-120u9+100u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110