Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
37.7%62.3%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.00Projected Runs 5.30
1Final Score 2
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-05.141.429

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.820.545

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Tyler Chatwood+170
L 3-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Trevor Williams • CHC: Yu Darvish+190
L 3-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Joe Musgrove+137
W 6-8 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Josh Lindblom • PIT: Derek Holland+168
L 6-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Steven Brault+160
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Tyler Chatwood-179
W 3-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Trevor Williams • CHC: Yu Darvish-200
L 7-12 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Sonny Gray+105
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tyler Mahle+120
W 8-7 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Jon Lester • CIN: Wade Miley-114

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PChris Archer60-day IL
  • LFKevin Kramer60-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz10-day IL
  • SSJT Riddle10-day IL
  • 1BJosh BellUnknown
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PHector NoesiOut for Season
  • PClay Holmes10-day IL
  • PJameson Taillon60-day IL
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
  • 3BKris BryantQuestionable
  • 3BDaniel Descalso45-day IL
W 4 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°81°79°79°
Humidity54%53%57%57%
Precipitation2%3%9%15%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 4 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphWNW 5 mph
Pat Hoberg
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+192+163+165+169+164+165+169-
Cubs-210-188-179-179-179-179-179-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+165+165+165+165+165+165-
Cubs-200-180-182-180-185-180-180-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +160
Cubs ML moved from -198 to -205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +163
Cubs ML moved from -176 to -182

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-130+1½-127+1½-130+1½-130+1½-127+1½-127-
Cubs-1½+100-1½+110-1½+107-1½+110-1½+110-1½+107-1½+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125-
Cubs-1½-110-1½+110-1½+117-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+117-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+100o9+101o9+100-o9+101o9+101-
Underu9-120u9-120u9-121u9-120-u9-121u9-120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-105o9-110o9-105o9+100o9-110o9+100-
Underu9-110u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-120u9-110u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110