Red Sox at Marlins

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(72-59)
Rank6
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8
57.9%42.1%
Red Sox WinMarlins Win
4.14Projected Runs 3.31

Miami Marlins

(67-65)
Rank12
R/G4.4
RA/G4.2
Rank6
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8
Rank12
R/G4.4
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Payton Tolle (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
218-63.081.08

Tyler Phillips (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-63.671.37

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-2 at Miami MarlinsBOS: Ranger Suarez • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-120
W 4-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Matt Wilkinson • BOS: Jake Bennett-198
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Blake Tidwell • BOS: Patrick Sandoval-200
W 4-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • BOS: Sonny Gray-170
L 7-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • BOS: Payton Tolle-153
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Ranger Suarez • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+114
W 2-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jackson Kent • MIA: Janson Junk-155
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • MIA: Eury Pérez-180
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Brad Lord • MIA: Ryan Gusto-140
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: Aaron Nola+135

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa60-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • PJustin Slaten15-day IL
  • 3BCurtis Mead10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PWilliam Kempner60-day IL
  • PPete Fairbanks15-day IL
LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-160-149-150-147-147-147-147-138.7
Marlins+134+134+126+133+137+133+137+138.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-160-150-145-144-151--144-138.7
Marlins+140+140+135+129+134-+140+138.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -162 to -168
Marlins ML moved from +136 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -135 to -145
Marlins ML moved from +138 to +129

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+105-1½+119-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+119-1½+124
Marlins+1½-125+1½-133+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+105-1½+115-1½+115-1½+125-1½+115--1½+125-1½+124
Marlins+1½-125+1½-135+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135-+1½-135+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-119o7-125o7-118o7-120o7-118o7-118o7-107
Underu7½-105u7+106u7+105u7-102u7+100u7-102u7+106u7+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-120o7-115o7-120o7-115-o7-115o7-107
Underu7½-105u7+100u7-105u7+100u7-105-u7+100u7+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105
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