Reds at Padres

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
32.0%68.0%
Reds WinPadres Win
3.24Projected Runs 5.08
1Final Score 7
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-39.552.215

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-23.581.301

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-1 at San Diego PadresCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SDP: Michael Wacha+170
L 3-8 at San Diego PadresCIN: Luke Weaver • SDP: Blake Snell+201
L 4-5 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Nick Lodolo • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-142
W 3-2 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Hunter Greene • OAK: Kyle Muller-141
W 11-7 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Luis Cessa • OAK: Drew Rucinski-108
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SDP: Michael Wacha-185
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • SDP: Blake Snell-200
W 4-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • SDP: Yu Darvish-138
W 11-16 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Sean Manaea • SDP: Joe Musgrove-180
L 2-5 at Chicago CubsSDP: Seth Lugo • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-165

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor OvertonUnknown
  • PFernando CruzUnknown
  • RFWil Myers10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • 3BManny MachadoRest
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • LFDavid Dahl10-day IL
WSW 10 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°64°63°63°
Humidity53%52%53%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 10 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+215+225+220+220+225+220+225+227.2
Padres-235-255-270-245-245-245-245-227.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+210+230+224+210+227+210+230+227.2
Padres-260-270-250-260-260-260-250-227.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +240 to +225
Padres ML moved from -246 to -255

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +230 to +224
Padres ML moved from -250 to -256

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+105+1½+112+1½+110+1½+104+1½+105+1½+104+1½+112+1½+113
Padres-1½-125-1½-128-1½-130-1½-124-1½-125-1½-124-1½-124-1½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+105+1½+115+1½+114+1½+110+1½+115+1½+115+1½+115+1½+113
Padres-1½-125-1½-135-1½-132-1½-130-1½-135-1½-135-1½-130-1½-113

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-118o8½-115o8½-118o8½-120o8½-118o8½-115o8½-107
Underu9-120u8½+102u8½-105u8½-102u8½+100u8½-102u8½+102u8½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+100o9+105o9+100o9+100o9+105o9+105o8½-107
Underu9-115u9-120u9-125u9-120u9-120u9-125u9-120u8½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120