Reds at Red Sox

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(14-10)
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
40.5%59.5%
Reds WinRed Sox Win
4.37Projected Runs 5.36
2Final Score 8

Boston Red Sox

(14-11)
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-44.181.375

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-24.721.157

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Luke Weaver • BOS: James Paxton+147
W 9-8 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello+155
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly+153
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • BOS: James Paxton-154
L 9-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello-170
L 2-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Tanner Houck • ARI: Merrill Kelly+117
W 2-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Garrett Whitlock • ARI: Zach Davies-106
W 7-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Chris Sale • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-117

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • LFT.J. FriedlUnknown
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PCorey KluberOut
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • CReese McGuireRest
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
S 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°80°76°73°
Humidity41%47%52%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 8 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+148+150+141+155-+155+155+159.9
Red Sox-161-160-170-168--168-160-159.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+140+145+149+140+151+145+151+159.9
Red Sox-165-155-164-165-165-170-155-159.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +146 to +140
Red Sox ML moved from -161 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +150 to +144
Red Sox ML moved from -156 to -163

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-130+1½-128+1½-125+1½-125-+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105--1½+105-1½+112-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-135+1½-140+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-114
Red Sox-1½+115-1½+120-1½+112-1½+115-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-103o9½-105o9½-104-o9½-104o9½-103o9½+105
Underu9½-115u9½-113u9½-115u9½-116-u9½-116u9½-113u9½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9-120o9½-105o9-120o9½+105
Underu9-105u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9+100u9½-115u9½-115u9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under
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