Guardians at Red Sox

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
44.2%55.8%
Guardians WinRed Sox Win
4.06Projected Runs 4.67
8Final Score 1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Joey Cantillo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-33.931.417

Brennan Bernardino (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
24-22.811.208

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-11 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Slade Cecconi • BOS: Garrett Crochet+220
L 4-6 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Parker Messick • BOS: Brayan Bello+134
L 4-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • CLE: Tanner Bibee+102
W 3-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Gavin Williams+135
W 4-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Logan Allen+140
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 7-11 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Slade Cecconi • BOS: Garrett Crochet-240
W 4-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Parker Messick • BOS: Brayan Bello-135
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • BOS: Lucas Giolito-169
L 10-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle-110

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
  • SSGabriel AriasIn Lineup

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°73°69°67°
Humidity46%54%62%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 6 mphS 7 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+126+133+128+129+130+129+133+134.4
Red Sox-136-143-153-142-140-142-140-134.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+120+125+126+131+133+130+133+134.4
Red Sox-134-140-140-146-150-140-140-134.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Red Sox ML moved from -140 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +135 to +125
Red Sox ML moved from -132 to -144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-158+1½-165+1½-163+1½-160+1½-163+1½-158+1½-151
Red Sox-1½+140-1½+142-1½+140-1½+143-1½+140-1½+143-1½+143-1½+151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-168+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-155+1½-170+1½-155+1½-151
Red Sox-1½+148-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+135-1½+150-1½+150-1½+151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-108o8½-118o8½-120o8½-114o8½-120o8½-114o8½-114o8½-104
Underu9-108u8½+102u8½+100u8½-106u8½+100u8½-106u8½+102u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-104
Underu9-110u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u8½+100u9-120u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120