Cubs at Nationals

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
62.2%37.8%
Cubs WinNationals Win
4.99Projected Runs 3.70
5Final Score 1
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-13.210.929

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-13.01.296

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Justin Steele • MIA: Bryan Hoeing-170
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Caleb Kilian • MIA: Edward Cabrera+110
L 2-3 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-113
W 2-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+154
L 5-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • CHC: Drew Smyly-108
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • WSN: Josiah Gray+146
L 16-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Vince Velasquez • WSN: Chad Kuhl+137
L 6-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Rich Hill • WSN: Patrick Corbin+133
L 8-9 at New York MetsWSN: Trevor Williams • NYM: Joey Lucchesi+205
W 4-1 at New York MetsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • NYM: Kodai Senga+195

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJameson TaillonUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
SW 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)59°57°55°54°
Humidity51%54%58%62%
Precipitation0%0%11%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 10 mphSW 8 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-145-129-140-129-128-129-128-123.4
Nationals+134+120+117+119+118+119+120+123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-145-128-128-130-138-130-128-123.4
Nationals+122+118+117+115+127+120+127+123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -130 to -138
Nationals ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -120 to -128
Nationals ML moved from +121 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+120-1½+127-1½+125-1½+122-1½+120-1½+122-1½+127-1½+130
Nationals+1½-140+1½-143+1½-145+1½-142+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+118-1½+125-1½+131-1½+118-1½+115-1½+125-1½+131-1½+130
Nationals+1½-140+1½-145+1½-150+1½-140+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135+1½-130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-103o8½-115o8½+101o8½-110o8½+101o8½+101o8½+110
Underu8½+100u8½-113u8½-105u8½-121u8½-110u8½-121u8½-105u8½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+110
Underu8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-108 to u8½-121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110