Red Sox at Brewers

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
37.7%62.3%
Red Sox WinBrewers Win
3.67Projected Runs 4.94
12Final Score 5
Rank4
R/G5.3
RA/G3.9
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank4
R/G5.3
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-116.883.375

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-14.761.059

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-5 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Garrett Whitlock • MIL: Wade Miley+118
W 5-3 at Milwaukee BrewersBOS: Nick Pivetta • MIL: Freddy Peralta+155
W 5-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck-112
L 10-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber+130
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale+107
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Whitlock • MIL: Wade Miley-122
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • MIL: Freddy Peralta-168
W 5-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Eric Lauer • SEA: Marco Gonzales+124
W 6-5 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Colin Rea • SEA: Logan Gilbert+145
W 7-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SEA: Chris Flexen-138

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PAdrian HouserUnknown
  • PCorbin BurnesUnknown
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • CWilliam ContrerasRest
  • PAaron Ashby60-day IL
  • 3BLuis Urias60-day IL
  • PJustin Wilson60-day IL
  • -Gus VarlandUnknown
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
W 8 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)40°42°42°43°
Humidity58%55%56%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindW 8 mphW 9 mphW 9 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+130+151+139+152+151+152+152+156.9
Brewers-140-161-165-165-161-165-161-156.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+160+152+148+152+151+145+152+156.9
Brewers-180-165-163-180-165-160-160-156.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +156 to +140
Brewers ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +150 to +140
Brewers ML moved from -154 to -163

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-143+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-130
Brewers-1½+140-1½+127-1½+120-1½+122-1½+120-1½+122-1½+127-1½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-150+1½-140+1½-130
Brewers-1½+110-1½+125-1½+127-1½+118-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8+102o8-105o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+102o8+109
Underu8½-110u8-118u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8+100o8+100o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8½-110u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-103 to o8-118
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120