Nationals at Twins

Updated
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
35.7%64.3%
Nationals WinTwins Win
4.09Projected Runs 5.59
1Final Score 3
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-26.31.75

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 10-4 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: Chad Kuhl • MIN: Pablo Lopez+270
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIN: Tyler Mahle+208
L 4-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+133
L 1-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • WSN: Josiah Gray+130
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • WSN: Patrick Corbin+210
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 10-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Chad Kuhl • MIN: Pablo Lopez-290
L 3-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIN: Tyler Mahle-230
L 5-11 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck+110
W 10-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber-138
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale-114

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PKenta MaedaQuestionable
  • LFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • PRonny HenriquezUnknown
  • CFGilberto Celestino60-day IL
  • PJosh WinderUnknown
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
WNW 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)41°42°43°43°
Humidity49%48%48%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+230+220+215+222+230+222+230+229.5
Twins-250-250-265-248-250-248-248-229.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+205+220+229+215+230+230+230+229.5
Twins-250-260-255-267-265-260-255-229.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +220 to +205
Twins ML moved from -250 to -265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +228 to +215
Twins ML moved from -278 to -285

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+105+1½+112+1½+115+1½+111+1½+105+1½+111+1½+115+1½+120
Twins-1½-125-1½-128-1½-135-1½-131-1½-125-1½-131-1½-125-1½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½+110+1½+113+1½+110+1½+120+1½+110+1½+120+1½+120
Twins-1½-115-1½-130-1½-131-1½-130-1½-140-1½-130-1½-130-1½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-103o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-113u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-113u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½+109
Underu8½-100u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-100 to u8½-110