Twins at Red Sox

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(6-11)
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
39.9%60.1%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
4.65Projected Runs 5.72
8Final Score 3

Boston Red Sox

(10-9)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Dylan Bundy (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-00.00.4

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-06.231.385

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 1-8 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Michael Wacha+125
L 0-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Tanner Houck+140
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta+115
L 7-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • MIN: Chris Paddack+173
L 7-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Andrew Heaney • MIN: Chris Archer+136
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Michael Wacha-127
W 0-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Tanner Houck-138
L 8-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Nick Pivetta-118
W 9-7 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez-131
W 5-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Rich Hill • DET: Tyler Alexander-120

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerRest
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BTrevor StoryRest
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
ENE 6 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)54°55°51°49°
Humidity36%36%40%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 6 mphE 8 mphESE 9 mphESE 9 mph
Adam Hamari
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+120+122+129+130+129+129+130+133.2
Red Sox-130-145-139-140-139-139-139-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+132+130+124+122+131+127+131+133.2
Red Sox-145-140-136-132-142-137-132-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +134 to +128
Red Sox ML moved from -134 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +130 to +124
Red Sox ML moved from -138 to -144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-165+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-163+1½-163+1½-160+1½-149
Red Sox-1½+145-1½+135-1½+143-1½+140-1½+143-1½+143-1½+143-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-155+1½-155+1½-163+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-149
Red Sox-1½+136-1½+135-1½+144-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+144-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+105o8½-130o9+102o8½-120o9+105o9+102o9+105o9+104
Underu9½-125u8½+110u9-122u8½+100u9-125u9-122u8½+110u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-125o8½-130o9-105o8½-125o8½-125o8½-125o9+104
Underu9-110u9-120u8½+110u9-115u8½+105u8½+105u8½+110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110
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