Nationals at Diamondbacks

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
40.8%59.2%
Nationals WinDiamondbacks Win
3.88Projected Runs 4.85
1Final Score 3
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-42.671.277

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-33.061.299

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • WSN: Patrick Corbin+160
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • WSN: Jake Irvin+177
W 1-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • WSN: Trevor Williams+128
L 5-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+127
W 2-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • WSN: Josiah Gray+146
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 12-7 at Texas RangersARI: Brandon Pfaadt • TEX: Andrew Heaney+112
L 4-6 at Texas RangersARI: Zac Gallen • TEX: Jon Gray-141
L 4-12 at Colorado RockiesARI: Ryne Nelson • COL: Austin Gomber-126
W 11-4 at Colorado RockiesARI: Tommy Henry • COL: Noah Davis+109
W 9-1 at Colorado RockiesARI: Merrill Kelly • COL: Kyle Freeland-121

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PChad KuhlUnknown

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PZach DaviesUnknown
  • PCole Sulser60-day IL
  • CFCorbin CarrollUnknown
  • RFKyle Lewis10-day IL
W 9 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°77°74°71°
Humidity18%19%22%24%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 9 mphW 8 mphW 7 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+152+166+155+164+168+164+168+169.0
Diamondbacks-165-180-188-178-178-178-178-169.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+162+165+162+158+161+155+165+169.0
Diamondbacks-179-180-179-190-177-180-177-169.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Diamondbacks ML moved from -170 to -177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +170 to +164
Diamondbacks ML moved from -180 to -187

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-127+1½-125+1½-127+1½-125+1½-116
Diamondbacks-1½+110-1½+112-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+107-1½+112-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-128+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-116
Diamondbacks-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-103o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-103o9-104
Underu8½+100u9-113u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-105u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-120o9-119o9-115o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-104
Underu9-120u9+100u9-101u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-107
The Under moved from u9-103 to u9-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105