Reds at Twins

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(14-10)
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
44.3%55.7%
Reds WinTwins Win
3.98Projected Runs 4.58
3Final Score 7

Minnesota Twins

(10-13)
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-52.861.212

Michael Pineda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 7-2 at Minnesota TwinsCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIN: Jose Berrios+145
W 1-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Trevor Bauer-165
L 3-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • CIN: Sonny Gray-150
W 3-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Luis Castillo-124
W 3-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • CIN: Michael Lorenzen-128
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIN: Jose Berrios-154
W 6-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • MIN: Kenta Maeda-315
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • MIN: Homer Bailey-180
W 4-0 at Chicago CubsMIN: Jose Berrios • CHC: Yu Darvish+150
W 8-1 at Chicago CubsMIN: Michael Pineda • CHC: Alec Mills-123

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PTyler ThornburgOut for Season
  • PJose De Leon10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFByron BuxtonUnknown
  • 1BMiguel SanoRest
  • 2BLuis ArraezUnknown
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonUnknown
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
  • LFBrent RookerOut for Season
SSW 2 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°69°69°68°
Humidity87%91%90%88%
Precipitation8%10%8%10%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 2 mphW 1 mphSE 4 mphNW 8 mph
D.J. Reyburn
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+118+102+109+110+115+109+115-
Twins-128-122-119-120-125-119-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+120+109+114+110+110+114+114-
Twins-130-119-124-120-120-124-119-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +110 to +104
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +116 to +109
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-170+1½-190+1½-195+1½-200+1½-200+1½-195+1½-190-
Twins-1½+150-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-170+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-170+1½-180+1½-180-
Twins-1½+150-1½+170-1½+168-1½+165-1½+150-1½+160-1½+170-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110-
Underu8-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+105o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½+105-
Underu8-110u7½-125u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125
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