MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
50.3%
49.7%
+109
-115
+111
-118
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+160
7
1
-0.75042-0.76179-0.68627
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
37.5%
62.5%
+170
-179
+170
-184
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
5
-1.00512-1.01134-0.97982
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.4%
44.6%
-123
+119
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
5
2
-0.60314-0.59012-0.59014
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
48.3%
51.7%
-108
+100
-104
+101
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
5
4
-0.67446-0.68102-0.72799
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
37.9%
62.1%
+190
-202
+190
-205
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
5
11
-0.41577-0.41412-0.47634
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
41.7%
58.3%
+131
-135
+133
-140
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-155
-1½+145
11
8
-0.84460-0.85830-0.87539
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
57.5%
42.5%
-132
+123
-135
+130
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
8
4
-0.58118-0.56352-0.55274
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
39.8%
60.2%
+137
-144
+136
-144
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
3
4
-0.53940-0.54116-0.50725
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
38.3%
61.7%
+154
-162
+157
-160
+1½-138
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
4
-0.49269-0.48999-0.48344
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.1%
51.9%
-107
-102
+100
-102
-1½+162
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-175
3
5
-0.70492-0.68824-0.65626
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
46.1%
53.9%
+100
-109
+105
-109
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+185
2
0
-0.71445-0.72714-0.77347
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
64.9%
35.1%
-170
+165
-169
+174
-1½-125
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+110
10
8
-0.46959-0.45801-0.43229
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
54.2%
45.8%
-137
+128
-135
+131
-1½+125
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-125
7
8
-0.84070-0.84460-0.77984
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
46.3%
53.7%
-103
-105
-105
-105

+1½-200
-1½+185
1
5
-0.68844-0.69315-0.62220
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
41.5%
58.5%
+147
-157
+148
-155
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
3
-0.91985-0.91925-0.88061
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
41.5%
58.5%
+146
-155
+149
-154
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
3
-0.91442-0.92015-0.88008
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.