MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
31.7%
68.3%
+246
-263
+240
-268
+1½+117
-1½-133
+1½+125
-1½-132
6
3
-1.25470-1.24591-1.14955
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
43.5%
56.5%
+131
-135
+131
-137
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
7
2
-0.84460-0.84814-0.83232
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
55.7%
44.3%
+122
-131
+127
-134
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+143
4
1
-0.81491-0.83287-0.58487
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
56.3%
43.7%
-161
+156
-158
+151
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
1
-0.49058-0.50112-0.57510
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
55.4%
44.6%
-145
+135
-145
+140
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-128
0
9
-0.87165-0.88394-0.80750
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
42.1%
57.9%
+136
-144
+135
-145
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-152
-1½+135
4
1
-0.87244-0.87165-0.86408
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
59.6%
40.4%
-162
+157
-158
+154
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
10
6
-0.48815-0.49645-0.51679
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
43.4%
56.6%
+143
-151
+145
-152
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
1
-0.90093-0.90736-0.83554
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+142
-148
+140
-150
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
0
1
-0.52616-0.52736-0.65199
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
52.0%
48.0%
-126
+120
-125
+118
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
12
5
-0.59626-0.60195-0.65323
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
39.7%
60.3%
+138
-145
+140
-149
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+142
8
6
-0.87904-0.89040-0.92473
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.8%
67.2%
+193
-208
+201
-209
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
4
13
-0.40905-0.39957-0.39717
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
45.2%
54.8%
+126
-131
+123
-127
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
7
3
-0.82490-0.80986-0.79418
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
58.2%
41.8%
-143
+136
-147
+138
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
12
11
-0.54235-0.53415-0.54194
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
35.9%
64.1%
+138
-139
+128
-137
+1½-158
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.54374-0.56460-0.44432
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
37.2%
62.8%
+210
-230
+221
-230
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½-115
7
6
-1.15078-1.17474-0.98819
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.