MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
52.3%
47.7%
-115
+108
-114
+108

-1½+145
+1½-159
6
2
-0.64124-0.64318-0.64894
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
56.2%
43.8%
-162
+152
-160
+151
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-122
1
2
-0.93928-0.93397-0.82538
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
42.5%
57.5%
+113
-120
+120
-123
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+150
9
13
-0.62096-0.60110-0.55278
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
38.9%
61.1%
+190
-207
+189
-200
+1½-117
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+110
6
4
-1.08362-1.07388-0.94466
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.3%
51.7%
-104
-104
-104
+100


5
2
-0.69315-0.68349-0.72830
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
64.0%
36.0%
-201
+186
-204
+185
-1½-128
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+105
8
2
-0.42108-0.42060-0.44582
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
51.8%
48.2%
+107
-113
+108
-115
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
4
-0.64741-0.64124-0.72919
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.5%
48.5%
+100
-108
+103
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
1
4
-0.67446-0.66291-0.72311
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
44.2%
55.8%
+139
-147
+137
-145
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
6
5
-0.88474-0.87659-0.81615
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
49.5%
50.5%
+109
-115
+110
-117
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+156
14
8
-0.75042-0.75717-0.70316
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.4%
51.6%
+107
-115
+108
-112
+1½-200
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+195
2
3
-0.64352-0.64712-0.66165
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
65.1%
34.9%
-235
+216
-240
+225
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+133
8
0
-0.37234-0.36179-0.42988
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.2%
53.8%
+145
-154
+152
-155
+1½-153
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
8
-0.51473-0.50251-0.61949
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
35.2%
64.8%
+161
-169
+164
-170
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
0
2
-0.47615-0.47101-0.43444
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.5%
58.5%
+138
-147
+138
-144
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
4
-0.53415-0.53763-0.53532
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
68.5%
31.5%
-297
+268
-291
+270
-1½-155
+1½+142
-1½-153
+1½+145
13
4
-0.30986-0.30979-0.37898
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.