MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.5%
41.5%
-132
+123
-134
+128
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-145
8
1
-0.58118-0.56867-0.53604
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.9%
61.1%
+155
-165
+160
-170
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
2
-0.95078-0.96964-0.94520
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.5%
48.5%
-124
+115
-125
+116
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-145
2
6
-0.78397-0.78847-0.72346
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
51.8%
48.2%
+104
-102
+103
-108
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
5
-0.67844-0.66719-0.73027
Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies
68.4%
31.6%
-202
+190
-200
+198
-1½-133
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+135
15
1
-0.41577-0.40770-0.37986
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
59.7%
40.3%
-130
+121
-128
+125
-1½+132
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
8
-0.81054-0.81676-0.90966
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
44.9%
55.1%
+116
-126
+123
-128
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
2
-0.79039-0.81180-0.79995
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
52.8%
47.2%
-124
+120
-128
+120
-1½+127
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
1
-0.59946-0.59314-0.63856
Cleveland Guardians
New York Mets
39.6%
60.4%
+178
-186
+175
-190
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
7
6
-1.03246-1.03022-0.92717
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
41.1%
58.9%
+142
-150
+145
-154
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+125
5
8
-0.52396-0.51473-0.52850
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
39.9%
60.1%
+174
-182
+180
-185
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
3
13
-0.44820-0.43838-0.50946
Houston Astros
Miami Marlins
52.2%
47.8%
+118
-126
+122
-129
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
2
-0.79542-0.81119-0.64915
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
42.1%
57.9%
+161
-167
+172
-170
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+120
3
6
-0.47783-0.45989-0.54633
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.5%
50.5%
-112
+109
-124
+116
-1½+140
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
5
-0.74391-0.78651-0.68272
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
44.1%
55.9%
+160
-169
+165
-178
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
2
-0.47760-0.46334-0.58171
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
52.4%
47.6%
-132
+126
-136
+126
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
5
-0.82675-0.83393-0.74330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.