MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
30.8%
69.2%
+240
-260
+240
-255
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-126
4
3
-1.23998-1.23612-1.17847
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
41.9%
58.1%
+136
-143
+138
-142
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
7
-0.54235-0.54003-0.54251
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
57.7%
42.3%
-128
+120
-125
+120
-1½+135
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-140
4
0
-0.59314-0.59784-0.55054
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
37.2%
62.8%
+165
-175
+168
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+120
2
13
-0.46561-0.46143-0.46493
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
64.1%
35.9%
-263
+245
-275
+247
-1½-165
+1½+147
-1½-160
+1½+150
3
7
-1.25264-1.26546-1.02307
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
33.4%
66.6%
+283
-310
+280
-310
+1½+140
-1½-158
+1½+140
-1½-150
2
4
-0.29664-0.29866-0.40716
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
60.8%
39.2%
-200
+185
-200
+197
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+130
7
1
-0.42286-0.40883-0.49822
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.4%
63.6%
+169
-179
+172
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
3
4
-0.45706-0.45229-0.45179
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
63.7%
36.3%
-240
+220
-235
+220
-1½-134
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
4
3
-0.36652-0.36844-0.45133
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
41.4%
58.6%
+153
-158
+150
-154
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
14
-0.49801-0.50667-0.53450
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
47.7%
52.3%
+124
-132
+117
-124
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
2
-0.57921-0.60567-0.64873
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
25.3%
74.7%
+314
-330
+320
-350
+1½+145
-1½-155
+1½+155
-1½-160
0
5
-0.27365-0.26707-0.29208
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
42.5%
57.5%
+151
-156
+154
-160
+1½-140
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+127
0
10
-0.50307-0.49456-0.55309
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+110
-120
+112
-118
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
4
-0.76336-0.76430-0.79607
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
+102
-108
+106
-109
-1½+160
+1½-175

10
0
-0.71728-0.72965-0.65965
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
57.2%
42.8%
-150
+140
-150
+146
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+115
+1½-125
3
2
-0.52736-0.51730-0.55858
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.