MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
50.1%
49.9%
+107
-112
+106
-113
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
6
-0.64942-0.64972-0.69585
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
50.0%
50.0%
+110
-117
+108
-115
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
7
0
-0.75717-0.74790-0.69407
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
49.6%
50.4%
+153
-146
+138
-145
+1½-120
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+131
4
10
-0.51041-0.53645-0.68518
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
54.2%
45.8%
-108
+103
-109
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-145
12
3
-0.66719-0.66027-0.61203
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.3%
33.7%
-198
+185
-200
+200
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+120
2
0
-0.42402-0.40546-0.41048
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
58.4%
41.6%
-109
+148
-110
+105
-1½+135
+1½+115
-1½+135
+1½-145
8
7
-0.57277-0.65817-0.53794
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
54.5%
45.5%
-111
+103
-110
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
4
-0.66083-0.65817-0.60662
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
57.2%
42.8%
-139
+131
-138
+140
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-130
0
1
-0.85163-0.87196-0.84838
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
59.2%
40.8%
-175
+165
-174
+170
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+105
0
1
-0.98819-0.99864-0.89612
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
64.0%
36.0%
-172
+163
-170
+171
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+130
5
3
-0.47082-0.46126-0.44674
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
52.3%
47.7%
-143
+135
-136
+136
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+131
+1½-140
4
1
-0.54412-0.55118-0.64743
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
57.3%
42.7%
-150
+141
-146
+144
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
1
-0.52565-0.52506-0.55673
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
46.3%
53.7%
+116
-124
+120
-122
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
4
5
-0.60776-0.60274-0.62170
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+151
-161
+155
-162
+1½-130
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
2
-0.49827-0.49117-0.47704
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
65.0%
35.0%
-192
+182
-195
+190
-1½-135
+1½+117
-1½-130
+1½+125
10
1
-0.43134-0.41980-0.43117
Cleveland Guardians
Colorado Rockies
57.0%
43.0%
-129
+121
-130
+124
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-130
4
2
-0.58960-0.58212-0.56280
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.