MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
45.7%
54.3%
+113
-123
+117
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
0
-0.77696-0.78902-0.78235
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
41.2%
58.8%
+114
-123
+115
-122
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
3
5
-0.61367-0.61323-0.53105
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
41.9%
58.1%
+115
-121
+113
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+178
2
0
-0.77801-0.77096-0.86907
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
37.6%
62.4%
+157
-168
+158
-162
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
7
-0.48287-0.48665-0.47112
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
39.7%
60.3%
+128
-138
+128
-129
+1½-190
-1½+166
+1½-192
-1½+175
2
4
-0.56328-0.57583-0.50663
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
61.1%
38.9%
-160
+149
-157
+152
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
5
2
-0.50236-0.50053-0.49310
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
57.5%
42.5%
-110
+103
-112
+106
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
6
-0.72433-0.73635-0.85458
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.3%
40.7%
-141
+132
-136
+132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
3
-0.55199-0.55846-0.52209
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
40.9%
59.1%
+116
-123
+118
-123
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+200
0
1
-0.60941-0.60523-0.52660
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-139
+131
-139
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
2
-0.84915-0.85163-0.79777
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.6%
46.4%
-109
+101
-113
+107
-1½+146
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-145
5
4
-0.66984-0.64741-0.62351
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
57.0%
43.0%
-158
+149
-147
+146
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
5
-0.92619-0.90182-0.84374
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
53.8%
46.2%
-115
+106
-114
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
1
-0.64582-0.64546-0.62081
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
45.7%
54.3%
+131
-140
+131
-135
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+136
5
9
-0.55511-0.56165-0.61129
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
34.4%
65.6%
+184
-200
+186
-200
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
1
2
-0.42407-0.42166-0.42135
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
56.8%
43.2%
-121
+114
-120
+113
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-135
0
1
-0.77551-0.77096-0.83940
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.