MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
43.9%
56.1%
+155
-163
+155
-160
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
2
7
-0.48807-0.49166-0.57878
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
52.9%
47.1%
-111
+102
-112
+115
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
4
-0.66260-0.63188-0.63688
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
50.6%
49.4%
-125
+125
-125
+125
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
2
-0.58778-0.58778-0.68177
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
54.2%
45.8%
-155
+152
-153
+147
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+110
+1½-115
11
4
-0.50170-0.51093-0.61249
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
48.6%
51.4%
+155
-158
+150
-155
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+125
6
7
-0.49410-0.50431-0.66472
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
37.0%
63.0%
+145
-150
+150
-146
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+125
3
6
-0.51765-0.51626-0.46186
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
41.1%
58.9%
+158
-167
+165
-172
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+126
3
1
-0.96480-0.98749-0.88826
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
33.8%
66.2%
+150
-151
+148
-155
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
4
-0.50949-0.50698-0.41317
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.0%
50.0%
-115
+110
-116
+112
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-150
4
5
-0.75362-0.76072-0.69375
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
63.7%
36.3%
-190
+180
-190
+180
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-126
+1½+120
8
3
-0.43231-0.43231-0.45095
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
58.0%
42.0%
-118
+115
-118
+114
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
15
3
-0.61975-0.62178-0.54431
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
55.4%
44.6%
-118
+115
-117
+114
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
7
5
-0.61975-0.62373-0.59075
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
44.7%
55.3%
+125
-126
+122
-129
+1½-145
-1½+134
+1½-145
-1½+135
6
10
-0.58602-0.58620-0.59213
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
45.1%
54.9%
+115
-120
+112
-117
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+163
6
5
-0.77690-0.76301-0.79682
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
35.4%
64.6%
+210
-225
+210
-220
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
3
-0.37853-0.38205-0.43699
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
48.2%
51.8%
+134
-144
+137
-142
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
7
-0.54230-0.54056-0.65815
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.