MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 26, 2026
Games for Jan 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
38.8%
61.2%
+172
-176
+170
-184
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
4
2
-1.00791-1.01821-0.94796
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
43.4%
56.6%
+133
-143
+138
-142
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
3
-0.86667-0.87541-0.83485
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
49.5%
50.5%
-107
+105
-105
-102
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
6
5
-0.66446-0.68593-0.70344
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
35.4%
64.6%
+167
-177
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
2
4
-0.45850-0.45216-0.43624
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
44.0%
56.0%
+148
-157
+152
-157
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
1
-0.92591-0.93402-0.82105
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
63.0%
37.0%
-200
+185
-200
+184
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
8
7
-0.41872-0.41965-0.46251
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.4%
49.6%
-147
+145
-145
+142
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
1
5
-0.90015-0.88992-0.70066
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
64.4%
35.6%
-164
+160
-165
+162
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-106
+1½+100
7
4
-0.48080-0.47726-0.44031
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
33.9%
66.1%
+230
-245
+231
-244
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+122
-1½-140
1
11
-0.35160-0.35155-0.41426
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
53.1%
46.9%
-165
+160
-162
+155
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½-105
15
3
-0.47963-0.48926-0.63371
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
49.5%
50.5%
-126
+125
-127
+120
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
3
2
-0.58602-0.59337-0.70330
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
42.5%
57.5%
-122
+120
-120
+116
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
4
3
-0.60239-0.61389-0.85592
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
53.8%
46.2%
+101
+100
-101
-105
-1½+160
+1½-165

2
8
-0.69065-0.68349-0.77193
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
32.5%
67.5%
+185
-196
+186
-200
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
8
-0.42214-0.41778-0.39267
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
62.9%
37.1%
-195
+185
-195
+195
-1½-130
+1½+130
-1½-130
+1½+120
10
5
-0.42301-0.41397-0.46385
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
54.2%
45.8%
+120
-127
+118
-125
+1½-175
-1½+155

5
6
-0.59337-0.60071-0.78156
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.