Nationals at Twins

Updated

Washington Nationals

(10-11)
Rank25
R/G3.8
RA/G4.2
35.8%64.2%
Nationals WinTwins Win
4.02Projected Runs 5.52
3Final Score 2

Minnesota Twins

(8-13)
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank25
R/G3.8
RA/G4.2
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-13.521.174

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-24.111.435

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+133
L 1-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • WSN: Josiah Gray+130
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • WSN: Patrick Corbin+210
L 6-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • WSN: Chad Kuhl+158
L 4-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • WSN: Trevor Williams+146
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 5-11 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck+110
W 10-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber-138
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale-114
L 0-2 at New York YankeesMIN: Pablo Lopez • NYY: Gerrit Cole+147
L 1-6 at New York YankeesMIN: Tyler Mahle • NYY: Domingo German+127

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • PRonny HenriquezUnknown
  • PJosh WinderUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaQuestionable
  • CFGilberto Celestino60-day IL
  • LFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)37°35°34°34°
Humidity68%74%77%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+170+207+195+204+210+204+210+210.5
Twins-180-232-240-225-230-225-225-210.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+170+195+208+192+205+205+208+210.5
Twins-205-230-230-235-230-230-230-210.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +212 to +204
Twins ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Twins ML moved from -225 to -235

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-140+1½-103+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-103+1½+104
Twins-1½+120-1½-113-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-113-1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-105+1½-109+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½+104
Twins-1½+105-1½-115-1½-109-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-109-1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-108o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-108o7½+100
Underu7½-110u7½-108u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-115o7½-120o8+100o8+100o7½-115o7½-115o7½+100
Underu8-110u7½-105u7½+100u8-120u8-120u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-116
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
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