Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
53.9%46.1%
Reds WinPirates Win
3.88Projected Runs 3.48
2Final Score 7
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jeff Hoffman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-24.391.463

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-22.781.144

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 14-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller-150
L 2-9 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Aaron Civale+110
W 3-0 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Wade Miley • CLE: Zach Plesac+135
W 0-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CIN: Sonny Gray-125
L 9-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-110
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 14-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+145
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsPIT: Tyler Anderson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+150
L 2-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Wil Crowe • CHC: Trevor Williams+175
L 2-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Trevor Cahill • CHC: Zach Davies+138
L 2-4 at San Diego PadresPIT: JT Brubaker • SDP: Yu Darvish+202

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFJared OlivaOut
  • RFGregory PolancoRest
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes60-day IL
  • 3BColin Moran10-day IL
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL
NNW 12 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)54°51°49°49°
Humidity39%43%48%49%
Precipitation6%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNNW 12 mphN 11 mphNNW 9 mphNW 7 mph
Pat Hoberg
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-103+110+105+110+110+110+110-
Pirates-107-121-125-120-120-120-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-103+109+112+111+110+112+112-
Pirates-107-119-122-121-120-122-119-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +114 to +107
Pirates ML moved from -113 to -121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +116 to +109
Pirates ML moved from -121 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-230+1½-202+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190-
Pirates-1½+190-1½+174-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-220+1½-185+1½-186+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185-
Pirates-1½+190-1½+165-1½+164-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-112o7½-115o8+102o8+102o8+102o7½-112-
Underu8-115u7½-108u7½-105u8-122u8-122u8-122u7½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110-
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+111 to o8+104
The Under moved from u8-117 to u8-131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110