Pirates at Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
44.4%55.6%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.99Projected Runs 4.59
6Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
235-135.271.277

Kyle Hendricks (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2714-64.431.343

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Steven Brault • CHC: Alec Mills+139
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Keegan Thompson+123
L 3-6 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Max Kranick • CHW: Carlos Rodon+313
L 2-4 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHW: Lucas Giolito+300
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • PIT: Wil Crowe+142
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Steven Brault • CHC: Alec Mills-144
W 5-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Keegan Thompson-128
W 3-0 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Justin Steele • MIN: Joe Ryan+165
W 3-1 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant+142
L 1-13 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CHW: Dylan Cease+227

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJT BrubakerUnknown
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesUnknown
  • CFBryan ReynoldsRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKeegan Thompson10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasUnknown
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
SSW 9 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°75°77°77°
Humidity83%80%78%77%
Precipitation3%3%3%3%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 9 mphSW 8 mphSW 7 mphSW 7 mph
Cory Blaser
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+152+133+134+139+135+134+139-
Cubs-165-153-145-149-145-145-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+146+140+133+140+141+138+141-
Cubs-160-150-146-150-154-148-146-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +141 to +134
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 50.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +146 to +135
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150-
Cubs-1½+120-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-138+1½-150+1½-153+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150-
Cubs-1½+120-1½+130-1½+134-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+134-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-128o8½-115o8½-128o8½-128o8½-115-
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½+108u8½-105u8½+108u8½+108u8½+108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-110o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110-
Underu8½-120u8½-110u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-128
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under
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