Pirates at Reds

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(12-11)
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
34.9%65.1%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.25Projected Runs 4.82
4Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(12-10)
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Cody Ponce (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-12.01.222

Trevor Bauer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-22.130.789

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Steven Brault+165
W 2-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: JT Brubaker+150
L 8-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Joe Musgrove+160
L 8-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jon Lester • PIT: Chad Kuhl+155
L 5-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Trevor Williams • MIL: Brent Suter+180
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Steven Brault-179
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Tyler Mahle-148
L 16-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • CIN: Sonny Gray-165
L 7-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-105
L 10-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Tyler Chatwood • CIN: Luis Castillo-162

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
N 5 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°73°70°68°
Humidity43%46%48%48%
Precipitation0%0%2%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 5 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+182+185+192+185+195+192+195-
Reds-198-215-210-200-225-210-200-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+200-+185+180+185+180+185-
Reds-220--205-200-210-200-200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +195 to +185
Reds ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +200 to +180
Reds ML moved from -192 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+0½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125-
Reds+0½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130-+1½-128+1½-135+1½-125+1½-135+1½-125-
Reds-1½+110--1½+110-1½+115-1½+105-1½+115-1½+115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120-
Underu6-105u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115-o6-128o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120-
Underu6-105-u6+108u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+108-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+100 to u6-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-118 to o6-128
No Steam Moves On Under
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