Toronto FC at Atlanta

Updated

Toronto FC

(4-4-1)
21.5%25.0%53.5%
Toronto FC WinDrawAtlanta Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 1

Atlanta United

(3-3-2)

Last 5 Games

Toronto FC
Money Line
L 2-3 at D.C. United+175
L 0-4 at Philadelphia Union+725
L 1-0 vs Inter Miami CF+105
L 0-4 at Orlando City+300
L 2-4 at Atlanta United+340
Atlanta United
Money Line
W 1-2 vs San Jose Earthquakes-145
L 2-1 vs New York City+115
L 1-2 at New England Revolution+155
T 0-0 vs Philadelphia Union+140
W 1-0 at Orlando City+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto FC+357+324+310+325+342+325+342+340.2
Atlanta-154-130-135-130-137-130-130-120.1
Draw+366+318+320+325+307+325+325+340.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto FC+350-+320-+310+325+325+340.2
Atlanta-150--135--180-135-135-120.1
Draw+335-+310-+315+310+315+340.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto FC: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto FC: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto FC: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto FC ML
No Steam Moves On Atlanta ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto FC: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto FC: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto FC: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto FC ML
No Steam Moves On Atlanta ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-142o3-120o3-118o3-115o3-112o3-115o3-112o3-104
Underu3+120u3+102u3-102u3-105u3-108u3-105u3+102u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-145o3-130o3-110-o3-135o3-130o3-110o3-104
Underu3+125u3+110u3-110-u3+105u3+110u3+110u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.04%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.27%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.82%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Toronto FC
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlanta United
Exactly 020.12%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 313.82%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.13%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toronto FC
Exactly 065.40%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.90%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlanta United
Exactly 047.60%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 213.12%
Exactly 33.25%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toronto FC
Wins by 2+ goals7.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Atlanta United
Wins by 2+ goals28.44%
Wins by 3+ goals12.01%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Toronto FC
Atlanta United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Toronto FC
Wins by 1 goal14.30%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Atlanta United
Wins by 1 goal25.01%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals7.88%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.96%8.04%
1.571.69%28.31%
2.546.14%53.86%
3.524.68%75.32%
4.511.16%88.84%
5.54.34%95.66%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Toronto FC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.03%39.97%
1.523.37%76.63%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Atlanta United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.88%20.12%
1.547.62%52.38%
2.521.75%78.25%
3.57.93%92.07%
4.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.87%31.13%
1.532.54%67.46%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toronto FC
Atlanta United
Score012345
0
8.04%
12.90%
10.34%
5.53%
2.22%
0.71%
1
7.37%
11.83%
9.48%
5.07%
2.03%
0.65%
2
3.38%
5.42%
4.35%
2.32%
0.93%
0.30%
3
1.03%
1.66%
1.33%
0.71%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.24%
0.38%
0.30%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Toronto FC
1-07.37%
2-03.38%
2-15.42%
3-01.03%
3-11.66%
3-21.33%
4-00.24%
4-10.38%
4-20.30%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.04%
1-111.83%
2-24.35%
3-30.71%
Atlanta United
0-112.90%
0-210.34%
1-29.48%
0-35.53%
1-35.07%
2-32.32%
0-42.22%
1-42.03%
2-40.93%
3-40.28%
0-50.71%
1-50.65%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Toronto FC
Atlanta United
Score01234
0
31.13%
23.11%
8.58%
2.12%
0.39%
1
13.22%
9.81%
3.64%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.81%
2.08%
0.77%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.40%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Toronto FC
1-013.22%
2-02.81%
2-12.08%
3-00.40%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.13%
1-19.81%
2-20.77%
Atlanta United
0-123.11%
0-28.58%
1-23.64%
0-32.12%
1-30.90%
2-30.19%
0-40.39%
1-40.17%