NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Celtics (64-18)
Miami Heat (46-36)
70.9%
29.1%




109.0
102.7
211.7


Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25)
New Orleans Pelicans (49-33)
61.7%
38.3%




111.5
107.7
219.2


Los Angeles Lakers (47-35)
Denver Nuggets (57-25)
36.1%
63.9%




109.1
113.6
222.7


Games for Apr 30, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26)
Phoenix Suns (49-33)
52.3%
47.7%
+220
-235
+220
-235
+6½-115
-5½-115
+6-110
-5½-110
213.8
o208½-105
u209½-108
o208½-110
u209½-110
TIME
HALF
59
53

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Clippers
Dallas Mavericks
41.6%
58.4%
+165
-182
+165
-180
+5-108
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
90
101
-0.46040-0.46185-0.53854
Milwaukee Bucks
Indiana Pacers
36.2%
63.8%
+227
-260
+230
-263
+6½-104
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-110
118
121
-0.35307-0.34943-0.44975
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
50.4%
49.6%
+115
-120
+105
-120
+1½-105
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
112
105
-0.77596-0.75056-0.68560
New York Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
44.1%
55.9%
+207
-240
+200
-225
+6-108
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5-115
114
125
-0.37943-0.39304-0.58146
Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic
42.8%
57.2%
+135
-145
+132
-140
+3-105
-3-108
+3-110
-2½-110
83
121
-0.54173-0.55326-0.55923
New Orleans Pelicans
Oklahoma City Thunder
29.4%
70.6%
+245
-280
+255
-290
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7½-105
92
124
-0.33173-0.32123-0.34764
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
19.8%
80.2%
+775
-1000
+800
-1100
+14½-108
-14-110
+14½-110
-14-110
111
101
-2.19212-2.22461-1.61868
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers
47.2%
52.8%
-103
-115
+100
-114
+1-108
-1-105
+1½-110
-1-110
96
93
-0.71988-0.72534-0.75145
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
51.6%
48.4%
+100
-115
+105
-115
+1½-110
-1-105
+1½-110
-1-110
125
108
-0.72743-0.74028-0.66153
Phoenix Suns
Minnesota Timberwolves
40.5%
59.5%
+130
-142
+135
-145
+3-108
-3-108
+3-110
-2½-110
93
105
-0.55443-0.54173-0.52000
Los Angeles Lakers
Denver Nuggets
34.7%
65.3%
+230
-270
+250
-260
+7-105
-7-105
+7½-110
-7-105
99
101
-0.34732-0.33332-0.42665
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks
37.3%
62.7%
+160
-175
+162
-180
+4½-108
-4½-105
+4-105
-4-110
101
104
-0.47276-0.46608-0.46643
Orlando Magic
Cleveland Cavaliers
42.2%
57.8%
+180
-205
+198
-210
+5½-108
-5½-105
+5½-110
-5½-110
86
96
-0.42615-0.40237-0.54742
New Orleans Pelicans
Oklahoma City Thunder
27.5%
72.5%
+320
-375
+330
-350
+9-105
-9-105
+9½-110
-8-110
92
94
-0.26359-0.26160-0.32175
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
48.1%
51.9%
-120
+100
-120
+105
-1½-108
+2-108
+0-110
+1½-110
94
109
-0.73760-0.75056-0.65574
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers
45.6%
54.4%
-165
+145
-160
+155
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3-110
+3½-110
97
109
-0.92644-0.94358-0.60816
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.40674 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.40564 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.49414
-0.08741
-0.08850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.