2022-2023 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2021-2022 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2022-2023 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.

Updated on 7/28/2022 @ 8:30am ET.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/16/2022 Cure Orlando, FL Troy North Texas
12/16/2022 Bahamas Nassau, BS UTEP Liberty*
12/17/2022 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM San Diego St N Illinois
12/17/2022 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Oregon St Missouri
12/17/2022 LA Bowl Inglewood, CA Utah St Washington
12/17/2022 Fenway Boston, MA Boston College Tulsa
12/17/2022 LendingTree Mobile, AL Miami OH Appalachian St
12/17/2022 Frisco Frisco, TX James Madison Tulane
12/19/2022 Myrtle Beach Conway, SC Coastal Car BYU
12/20/2022 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Ball St East Carolina
12/20/2022 Potato Boise, ID W Michigan Boise St
12/21/2022 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Louisiana FL Atlantic
12/22/2022 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Houston UT San Antonio
12/23/2022 Independence Shreveport, LA UCF Army
12/23/2022 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL UAB Washington St
12/24/2022 Hawaii Honolulu, HI WKU Air Force
12/26/2022 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Purdue Toledo
12/27/2022 Camelia Montgomery, AL C Michigan Georgia St
12/27/2022 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Memphis Mississippi St
12/27/2022 First Responder Dallas, TX Kentucky Minnesota
12/27/2022 Guaranteed Rate Phoenix, AZ Michigan St Iowa St
12/28/2022 Liberty Memphis, TN Kansas St LSU
12/28/2022 Texas Houston, TX TCU Florida
12/28/2022 Military Annapolis, MD SMU Florida St
12/29/2022 Pinstripe New York, NY Louisville Nebraska
12/29/2022 Cheez-It Orlando, FL Pittsburgh Baylor
12/29/2022 Alamo San Antonio, TX Oregon Texas
12/30/2022 Duke’s Mayo Charlotte, NC Virginia Tech Penn St
12/31/2022 Music City Nashville, TN Iowa Auburn
12/30/2022 Arizona Tucson, AZ Fresno St E Michigan
12/30/2022 Sun El Paso, NM UCLA Wake Forest
12/30/2022 Gator Jacksonville, FL Virginia Tennessee
1/2/2023 Citrus Orlando, FL Wisconsin Arkansas
1/2/2023 ReliaQuest Tampa, FL Mississippi Miami FL
1/2/2023 Holiday San Diego, CA North Carolina Utah

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/30/2022 Orange Miami, FL NC State Notre Dame
12/31/2022 Sugar New Orleans, LA Texas A&M Oklahoma
1/2/2023 Rose Pasadena, CA USC Michigan
1/2/2023 Cotton Arlington, TX Oklahoma St Cincinnati

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the Cincinnati Bearcats.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/31/2021 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Ohio St Georgia
12/31/2021 Peach Atlanta, GA Alabama Clemson

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Fiesta Bowl and the Peach Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Ohio St at 1, Alabama at 2, Clemson at 3 and Georgia at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/9/2023 Championship Inglewood, CA Alabama Ohio St