Here we list our most updated projections for the 2021-2022 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.
Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2022-2023 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.
Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.
Updated on 12/1/2022 @ 11:00am ET.
College Football Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/16/2022 | Cure | Orlando, FL | Troy | North Texas |
| 12/16/2022 | Bahamas | Nassau, BS | UAB | Miami OH |
| 12/17/2022 | New Mexico | Albuquerque, NM | San Diego St | Marshall |
| 12/17/2022 | Las Vegas | Las Vegas, NV | Oregon St | Florida |
| 12/17/2022 | LA Bowl | Inglewood, CA | Utah St | UCLA |
| 12/17/2022 | Fenway | Boston, MA | NC State | East Carolina |
| 12/17/2022 | LendingTree | Mobile, AL | UNLV | Appalachian St |
| 12/17/2022 | Frisco | Frisco, TX | James Madison | Tulane |
| 12/19/2022 | Myrtle Beach | Conway, SC | South Alabama | UT San Antonio |
| 12/20/2022 | Boca Raton | Boca Raton, FL | Ball St | Wyoming |
| 12/20/2022 | Potato | Boise, ID | Ohio | Boise St |
| 12/21/2022 | New Orleans | New Orleans, LA | Louisiana | MTSU |
| 12/22/2022 | Armed Forces | Fort Worth, TX | Houston | Rice |
| 12/23/2022 | Independence | Shreveport, LA | Cincinnati | Coastal Car* |
| 12/23/2022 | Gasparilla | St. Petersburg, FL | Duke | FL Atlantic |
| 12/24/2022 | Hawaii | Honolulu, HI | WKU | Air Force |
| 12/26/2022 | Quick Lane | Detroit, MI | Connecticut* | Toledo |
| 12/27/2022 | Camelia | Montgomery, AL | Liberty | Georgia St |
| 12/27/2022 | Birmingham | Birmingham, AL | Memphis | Missouri |
| 12/27/2022 | First Responder | Dallas, TX | Kansas | BYU |
| 12/27/2022 | Guaranteed Rate | Phoenix, AZ | Maryland | Oklahoma |
| 12/28/2022 | Liberty | Memphis, TN | Baylor | Arkansas |
| 12/28/2022 | Texas | Houston, TX | Oklahoma St | Kentucky |
| 12/28/2022 | Military | Annapolis, MD | SMU | Florida St |
| 12/29/2022 | Pinstripe | New York, NY | Louisville | Wisconsin |
| 12/29/2022 | Cheez-It | Orlando, FL | Syracuse | Texas Tech |
| 12/29/2022 | Alamo | San Antonio, TX | Utah | Texas |
| 12/30/2022 | Duke’s Mayo | Charlotte, NC | Pittsburgh | Minnesota |
| 12/31/2022 | Music City | Nashville, TN | Iowa | Mississippi |
| 12/30/2022 | Arizona | Tucson, AZ | Fresno St | E Michigan |
| 12/30/2022 | Sun | El Paso, NM | Washington St | Wake Forest |
| 12/30/2022 | Gator | Jacksonville, FL | Notre Dame | Mississippi St |
| 1/2/2023 | Citrus | Orlando, FL | Purdue | LSU |
| 1/2/2023 | ReliaQuest | Tampa, FL | Illinois | South Carolina |
| 1/2/2023 | Holiday | San Diego, CA | North Carolina | Oregon |
New Year’s Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/30/2022 | Orange | Miami, FL | Clemson | Tennessee |
| 12/31/2022 | Sugar | New Orleans, LA | Alabama | Kansas St |
| 1/2/2023 | Rose | Pasadena, CA | Washington | Ohio St |
| 1/2/2023 | Cotton | Arlington, TX | Penn St | UCF |
The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be UCF.
National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2021 | Fiesta | Glendale, AZ | Michigan | TCU |
| 12/31/2021 | Peach | Atlanta, GA | Georgia | USC |
The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Fiesta Bowl and the Peach Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Georgia at 1, Michigan at 2, TCU at 3, and USC at 4.
National Championship Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9/2023 | Championship | Inglewood, CA | Georgia | Michigan |