2021-2022 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2021-2022 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule | 2021 and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2021-2022 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.

Updated on 12/8/2021 @ 1:00pm ET.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/17/2021 Cure Orlando, FL N Illinois Coastal Car
12/17/2021 Bahamas Nassau, BS MTSU Toledo
12/18/2021 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM UTEP Fresno St
12/18/2021 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Appalachian St WKU
12/18/2021 Independence Shreveport, LA BYU UAB*
12/18/2021 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Louisiana Marshall
12/18/2021 LA Bowl Inglewood, CA Utah St Oregon St
12/18/2021 LendingTree Mobile, AL Liberty* E Michigan
12/20/2021 Myrtle Beach Conway, SC Old Dominion Tulsa
12/21/2021 Frisco Frisco, TX UT San Antonio San Diego St
12/21/2021 Potato Boise, ID Kent Wyoming
12/22/2021 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Army Missouri
12/23/2021 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL Florida UCF
12/24/2021 Hawaii Honolulu, HI Hawaii Memphis
12/25/2021 Camelia Montgomery, AL Georgia St Ball St
12/27/2021 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Nevada* W Michigan
12/27/2021 Military Annapolis, MD East Carolina Boston College
12/28/2021 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Houston Auburn
12/28/2021 First Responder Dallas, TX Air Force Louisville
12/28/2021 Liberty Memphis, TN Texas Tech Mississippi St
12/28/2021 Holiday San Diego, CA NC State UCLA
12/28/2021 Guaranteed Rate Phoenix, AZ West Virginia Minnesota
12/29/2021 Pinstripe New York, NY Virginia Tech Maryland
12/29/2021 Fenway Boston, MA Virginia SMU
12/29/2021 Cheez-It Orlando, FL Clemson Iowa St
12/29/2021 Alamo San Antonio, TX Oregon Oklahoma
12/30/2021 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Wisconsin Arizona St
12/30/2021 Duke’s Mayo Charlotte, NC North Carolina South Carolina
12/30/2021 Music City Nashville, TN Purdue Tennessee
12/31/2021 Arizona Tucson, AZ Boise St C Michigan*
12/31/2021 Sun El Paso, NM Washington St Miami FL
12/31/2021 Gator Jacksonville, FL Wake Forest Texas A&M
1/1/2022 Citrus Orlando, FL Iowa Kentucky
1/1/2022 Outback Tampa, FL Penn St Arkansas
1/4/2022 Texas Houston, TX Kansas St LSU

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/30/2021 Peach Atlanta, GA Pittsburgh Michigan St
1/1/2022 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Notre Dame Oklahoma St
1/1/2022 Rose Pasadena, CA Utah Ohio St
1/1/2022 Sugar New Orleans, LA Baylor Mississippi

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the Cincinnati Bearcats.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/31/2021 Cotton Arlington, TX Alabama Cincinnati
12/31/2021 Orange Miami, FL Michigan Georgia

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Orange Bowl and the Cotton Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Michigan at 2, Georgia at 3 and Cincinnati at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/10/2022 Championship Indianapolis, IN Alabama Georgia