Here we list our most updated projections for the 2023-2024 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.
Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2023-2024 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.
Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.
Updated on 12/3/2023 @ 8:50am ET.
College Football Bowl Projections
Our full list of bowl projections is coming soon!
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/23/2023 | Hawaii | Honolulu, HI | Coastal Car | San Jose St |
| 12/27/2023 | Duke’s Mayo | Charlotte, NC | Duke | Kentucky |
| 12/27/2023 | Holiday | San Diego, CA | Clemson | Oregon St |
| 12/28/2023 | Alamo | San Antonio, TX | Utah | Kansas |
| 12/30/2023 | Arizona | Tucson, AZ | UNLV | N Illinois |
| 12/29/2023 | Liberty | Memphis, TN | Iowa St | Memphis* |
| 12/29/2023 | Sun | El Paso, NM | USC | Miami FL |
| 12/29/2022 | Pop-Tarts | Orlando, FL | NC State | Kansas St |
| 12/29/2023 | Gator | Jacksonville, FL | North Carolina | LSU |
| 12/30/2023 | Music City | Nashville, TN | Wisconsin | Auburn |
| 1/1/2024 | Citrus | Orlando, FL | Iowa | Missouri |
| 1/1/2024 | ReliaQuest | Tampa, FL | Tennessee | Notre Dame |
New Year’s Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/29/2023 | Cotton | Arlington, TX | Mississippi | Texas |
| 12/30/2023 | Orange | Miami, FL | Louisville | Ohio St |
| 12/30/2023 | Peach | Atlanta, GA | Liberty | Penn St |
| 1/1/2024 | Fiesta | Glendale, AZ | Oregon | Georgia |
The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be Tulane.
National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1/2024 | Sugar | New Orleans, LA | Alabama | Washington |
| 1/1/2024 | Rose | Pasadena, CA | Michigan | Florida St |
The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Sugar Bowl and the Rose Bowl.
National Championship Bowl Projections
| Date | Bowl | Location | Team 1 | Team 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8/2024 | Championship | Arlington, TX | Alabama | Michigan |