2021-2022 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2021-2022 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule | 2021 and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2021-2022 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.

Updated on 10/17/2021 @ 11:40am ET.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
TBD Redbox Santa Clara, CA San Diego St* Stanford
12/17/2021 Cure Orlando, FL Ga Southern Wisconsin*
12/17/2021 Bahamas Nassau, BS Marshall W Michigan
12/18/2021 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM FL Atlantic Nevada
12/18/2021 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL South Alabama Liberty
12/18/2021 Independence Shreveport, LA BYU UAB
12/18/2021 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Louisiana UTEP
12/18/2021 LA Bowl Inglewood, CA Wyoming Oregon St
12/18/2021 LendingTree Mobile, AL Appalachian St C Michigan
12/20/2021 Myrtle Beach Conway, SC Coastal Car E Michigan
12/21/2021 Frisco Frisco, TX Troy Texas Tech*
12/21/2021 Potato Boise, ID Kent Boise St
12/22/2021 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Army Fresno St
12/23/2021 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL Arkansas Washington
12/24/2021 Hawaii Honolulu, HI Air Force Houston
12/25/2021 Camelia Montgomery, AL UT San Antonio Buffalo
12/27/2021 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Michigan St Toledo
12/27/2021 Military Annapolis, MD Memphis Louisville
12/28/2021 Birmingham Birmingham, AL SMU LSU
12/28/2021 First Responder Dallas, TX Kansas St North Carolina
12/28/2021 Liberty Memphis, TN West Virginia Tennessee
12/28/2021 Holiday San Diego, CA Pittsburgh UCLA
12/28/2021 Guaranteed Rate Phoenix, AZ Baylor Minnesota
12/29/2021 Pinstripe New York, NY Wake Forest Indiana
12/29/2021 Fenway Boston, MA Boston College UCF
12/29/2021 Cheez-It Orlando, FL NC State Texas
12/29/2021 Alamo San Antonio, TX Utah TCU
12/30/2021 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Rutgers USC
12/30/2021 Duke’s Mayo Charlotte, NC Virginia Tech Texas A&M
12/30/2021 Music City Nashville, TN Nebraska Auburn
12/31/2021 Arizona Tucson, AZ Utah St Ball St
12/31/2021 Sun El Paso, NM Arizona St Virginia
12/31/2021 Gator Jacksonville, FL Miami FL Missouri
1/1/2021 Citrus Orlando, FL Iowa Florida
1/1/2021 Outback Tampa, FL Maryland Kentucky
1/4/2021 Texas Houston, TX Iowa St Mississippi St

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/30/2021 Peach Atlanta, GA Clemson Notre Dame
1/1/2021 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Penn St Cincinnati
1/1/2021 Rose Pasadena, CA Oregon Michigan
1/1/2021 Sugar New Orleans, LA Mississippi Oklahoma St

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the Cincinnati Bearcats.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/31/2021 Cotton Arlington, TX Georgia Oklahoma
12/31/2021 Orange Miami, FL Ohio St Alabama

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Orange Bowl and the Cotton Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Georgia at 1, Ohio State at 2, Alabama at 3 and Oklahoma at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/10/2021 Championship Indianapolis, IN Alabama Georgia