2018-2019 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2018-2019 NCAA College Football bowl games. Like last year, there are a total of 40 bowl game contests with FBS teams and one (the Celebration Bowl) that has tie ins to FCS teams. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. For the first time this year, Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, 2018-2019 College Football Bowl Tie-Ins For Each Conference is a great reference point. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/15/2018 Camelia Montgomery, AL Ohio Troy
12/15/2018 Cure Orlando, FL Memphis Ga Southern
12/15/2018 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Fresno St Oregon
12/15/2018 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM North Texas San Diego St
12/15/2018 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Arkansas St MTSU
12/18/2018 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Cincinnati FL Atlantic
12/19/2018 Frisco Frisco, TX E Michigan* Coastal Car
12/20/2018 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL South Florida Louisiana Tech
12/21/2018 Potato Boise, ID Toledo Boise St
12/21/2018 Bahamas Nassau, BS Wake Forest* W Michigan
12/22/2018 Dollar General Mobile, AL Buffalo Appalachian St
12/22/2018 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Army BYU*
12/22/2018 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Southern Miss* Vanderbilt
12/22/2018 Hawaii Honolulu, HI Temple Hawaii
12/26/2018 Quick Lane Detroit, MI N Illinois* Northwestern
12/26/2018 Heart of Dallas Dallas, TX UAB Iowa St
12/26/2018 Cactus Tempe, AZ Texas Tech USC
12/27/2018 Independence Shreveport, LA Georgia Tech Florida Intl*
12/27/2018 Pinstripe New York, NY Syracuse Indiana
12/27/2018 Texas Houston, TX TCU Kentucky
12/28/2018 Camping World Orlando, FL Miami FL West Virginia
12/28/2018 Alamo San Antonio, TX Texas Colorado
12/28/2018 Music City Nashville, TN Duke Missouri
12/29/2018 Arizona Tucson, AZ Marshall* Utah St
12/29/2018 Belk Charlotte, NC Virginia Tech Auburn
12/31/2018 Holiday San Diego, CA Iowa Washington St
12/31/2018 Military Annapolis, MD Virginia Houston
12/27/2018 San Francisco Santa Clara, CA Minnesota Utah
12/31/2018 Sun El Paso, NM Boston College Stanford
12/31/2018 Liberty Memphis, TN Oklahoma St Texas A&M
12/31/2018 Gator Jacksonville, FL Maryland South Carolina
1/1/2019 Citrus Orlando, FL Michigan St Florida
1/1/2019 Outback Tampa, FL Michigan Mississippi St

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Peach Atlanta, GA UCF Wisconsin
1/1/2019 Rose Pasadena, CA Washington Penn St
1/1/2019 Sugar New Orleans, LA Georgia Oklahoma
1/1/2019 Fiesta Glendale, AZ NC State LSU

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the UCF Knights.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Cotton Arlington, TX Ohio St Notre Dame
12/29/2018 Orange Miami, FL Alabama Clemson

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Cotton Bowl and the Orange Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Ohio St at 2, Notre Dame at 3 and Clemson at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/7/2019 Championship Atlanta, GA Alabama Ohio State

Our rating system projects that Alabama would be favored heavily against Clemson and Ohio State would be favored over Notre Dame, thus pitting Alabama against Ohio State in the National Championship.