2018-2019 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2018-2019 NCAA College Football bowl games. Like last year, there are a total of 40 bowl game contests with FBS teams and one (the Celebration Bowl) that has tie ins to FCS teams. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. For the first time this year, Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, 2018-2019 College Football Bowl Tie-Ins For Each Conference is a great reference point. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/15/2018 Camelia Montgomery, AL Ohio Troy
12/15/2018 Cure Orlando, FL Memphis Ga Southern
12/15/2018 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Boise St Utah
12/15/2018 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM North Texas San Diego St
12/15/2018 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Arkansas St Marshall
12/18/2018 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Navy FL Atlantic
12/19/2018 Frisco Frisco, TX UNLV* W Michigan*
12/20/2018 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL South Florida Louisiana Tech
12/21/2018 Potato Boise, ID Toledo Fresno St
12/21/2018 Bahamas Nassau, BS Temple N Illinois
12/22/2018 Dollar General Mobile, AL Buffalo Appalachian St
12/22/2018 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Army Indiana
12/22/2018 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Syracuse* Mississippi
12/22/2018 Hawaii Honolulu, HI SMU Utah St
12/26/2018 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Duke Minnesota
12/26/2018 Heart of Dallas Dallas, TX UAB Iowa St
12/26/2018 Cactus Tempe, AZ Kansas St California
12/27/2018 Independence Shreveport, LA Georgia Tech Tennessee
12/27/2018 Pinstripe New York, NY Louisville Purdue
12/27/2018 Texas Houston, TX TCU Arkansas
12/28/2018 Camping World Orlando, FL Virginia Tech Oklahoma St
12/28/2018 Alamo San Antonio, TX Texas USC
12/28/2018 Music City Nashville, TN Florida St Missouri
12/29/2018 Arizona Tucson, AZ MTSU Wyoming
12/29/2018 Belk Charlotte, NC NC State LSU
12/31/2018 Holiday San Diego, CA Iowa Stanford
12/31/2018 Military Annapolis, MD Wake Forest Houston
12/27/2018 San Francisco Santa Clara, CA Nebraska Oregon
12/31/2018 Sun El Paso, NM Boston College Arizona
12/31/2018 Liberty Memphis, TN West Virginia Texas A&M
12/31/2018 Gator Jacksonville, FL Northwestern South Carolina
1/1/2019 Citrus Orlando, FL Michigan St Florida
1/1/2019 Outback Tampa, FL Michigan Mississippi St

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Peach Atlanta, GA UCF Penn St
1/1/2019 Rose Pasadena, CA Washington Wisconsin
1/1/2019 Sugar New Orleans, LA Notre Dame Georgia
1/1/2019 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Miami FL Auburn

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the UCF Knights.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Cotton Arlington, TX Ohio St Clemson
12/29/2018 Orange Miami, FL Alabama Georgia

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Cotton Bowl and the Orange Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Clemson at 2, Ohio St at 3 and Georgia at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/7/2019 Championship Atlanta, GA Alabama Clemson

Our rating system projects that Alabama would be favored against Georgia and Clemson would be favored over Ohio State, thus pitting Clemson against Alabama in the National Championship for the third straight year.