2022-2023 College Football Bowl Projections

College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2021-2022 NCAA College Football bowl games. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, College Football Bowl Schedule and College Football Bowl Ties, Affiliations For Each Conference 2022-2023 are a great reference points. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.

Updated on 12/1/2022 @ 11:00am ET.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/16/2022 Cure Orlando, FL Troy North Texas
12/16/2022 Bahamas Nassau, BS UAB Miami OH
12/17/2022 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM San Diego St Marshall
12/17/2022 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Oregon St Florida
12/17/2022 LA Bowl Inglewood, CA Utah St UCLA
12/17/2022 Fenway Boston, MA NC State East Carolina
12/17/2022 LendingTree Mobile, AL UNLV Appalachian St
12/17/2022 Frisco Frisco, TX James Madison Tulane
12/19/2022 Myrtle Beach Conway, SC South Alabama UT San Antonio
12/20/2022 Boca Raton Boca Raton, FL Ball St Wyoming
12/20/2022 Potato Boise, ID Ohio Boise St
12/21/2022 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Louisiana MTSU
12/22/2022 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Houston Rice
12/23/2022 Independence Shreveport, LA Cincinnati Coastal Car*
12/23/2022 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL Duke FL Atlantic
12/24/2022 Hawaii Honolulu, HI WKU Air Force
12/26/2022 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Connecticut* Toledo
12/27/2022 Camelia Montgomery, AL Liberty Georgia St
12/27/2022 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Memphis Missouri
12/27/2022 First Responder Dallas, TX Kansas BYU
12/27/2022 Guaranteed Rate Phoenix, AZ Maryland Oklahoma
12/28/2022 Liberty Memphis, TN Baylor Arkansas
12/28/2022 Texas Houston, TX Oklahoma St Kentucky
12/28/2022 Military Annapolis, MD SMU Florida St
12/29/2022 Pinstripe New York, NY Louisville Wisconsin
12/29/2022 Cheez-It Orlando, FL Syracuse Texas Tech
12/29/2022 Alamo San Antonio, TX Utah Texas
12/30/2022 Duke’s Mayo Charlotte, NC Pittsburgh Minnesota
12/31/2022 Music City Nashville, TN Iowa Mississippi
12/30/2022 Arizona Tucson, AZ Fresno St E Michigan
12/30/2022 Sun El Paso, NM Washington St Wake Forest
12/30/2022 Gator Jacksonville, FL Notre Dame Mississippi St
1/2/2023 Citrus Orlando, FL Purdue LSU
1/2/2023 ReliaQuest Tampa, FL Illinois South Carolina
1/2/2023 Holiday San Diego, CA North Carolina Oregon

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/30/2022 Orange Miami, FL Clemson Tennessee
12/31/2022 Sugar New Orleans, LA Alabama Kansas St
1/2/2023 Rose Pasadena, CA Washington Ohio St
1/2/2023 Cotton Arlington, TX Penn St UCF

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be UCF.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/31/2021 Fiesta Glendale, AZ Michigan TCU
12/31/2021 Peach Atlanta, GA Georgia USC

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Fiesta Bowl and the Peach Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Georgia at 1, Michigan at 2, TCU at 3, and USC at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/9/2023 Championship Inglewood, CA Georgia Michigan