2018-2019 College Football Bowl Projections


College Football Bowl ProjectionsHere we list our most updated projections for the 2018-2019 NCAA College Football bowl games. Like last year, there are a total of 40 bowl game contests with FBS teams and one (the Celebration Bowl) that has tie ins to FCS teams. Schools must have a record of 6-6 or better to be eligible for a bowl game. If there are not enough teams that are eligible to qualify, then those with a record of 5-7 will be eligible based on which teams have the highest APR. For the first time this year, Pac-12 teams with a record worse than 6-6 will not be eligible for a bowl based on a conference rule.

Our bowl projections are forward looking on the season. This means that current record is only one variable in determining where we think the teams will be placed. For a full list of bowl affiliations, 2018-2019 College Football Bowl Tie-Ins For Each Conference is a great reference point. For all of our rankings on each of these teams, go to NCAA FBS Ratings and go to NCAA Football Game Projections for our predictions for each game.

Teams in BOLD have accepted their bowl bid.
Teams with an * are fill-in bids as some conferences do not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill their allotted slots.

Updated on 12/2/2018 @ 7:00pm EST.

College Football Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/15/2018 Camelia Montgomery, AL E Michigan Ga Southern
12/15/2018 Cure Orlando, FL Tulane ULL
12/15/2018 Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV Fresno St Arizona St
12/15/2018 New Mexico Albuquerque, NM North Texas Utah St
12/15/2018 New Orleans New Orleans, LA Appalachian St MTSU
12/18/2018 Cherry Boca Raton, FL N Illinois UAB
12/19/2018 Frisco Frisco, TX San Diego St Ohio
12/20/2018 Gasparilla St. Petersburg, FL South Florida Marshall
12/21/2018 Potato Boise, ID W Michigan BYU
12/21/2018 Bahamas Nassau, BS Florida Intl Toledo
12/22/2018 Dollar General Mobile, AL Buffalo Troy
12/22/2018 Armed Forces Fort Worth, TX Houston Army
12/22/2018 Birmingham Birmingham, AL Memphis Wake Forest
12/22/2018 Hawaii Honolulu, HI Louisiana Tech Hawaii
12/26/2018 Quick Lane Detroit, MI Georgia Tech Minnesota
12/26/2018 First Responder Dallas, TX Boise St* Boston College*
12/26/2018 Cheez-It Phoenix, AZ TCU California
12/27/2018 Independence Shreveport, LA Duke Temple
12/27/2018 Pinstripe New York, NY Miami FL Wisconsin
12/27/2018 Texas Houston, TX Baylor Vanderbilt
12/28/2018 Camping World Orlando, FL Syracuse West Virginia
12/28/2018 Alamo San Antonio, TX Iowa st Washington St
12/28/2018 Music City Nashville, TN Purdue Auburn
12/29/2018 Arizona Tucson, AZ Arkansas St Nevada
12/29/2018 Belk Charlotte, NC Virginia South Carolina
12/31/2018 Holiday San Diego, CA Northwestern Utah
12/31/2018 Military Annapolis, MD Virginia Tech Cincinnati
12/27/2018 Redbox Santa Clara, CA Michigan St Oregon
12/31/2018 Sun El Paso, NM Pittsburgh Stanford
12/31/2018 Liberty Memphis, TN Oklahoma St Missouri
12/31/2018 Gator Jacksonville, FL NC State Texas A&M
1/1/2019 Citrus Orlando, FL Penn St Kentucky
1/1/2019 Outback Tampa, FL Iowa Mississippi St

New Year’s Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Peach Atlanta, GA Michigan Florida
1/1/2019 Rose Pasadena, CA Washington Ohio St
1/1/2019 Sugar New Orleans, LA Georgia Texas
1/1/2019 Fiesta Glendale, AZ UCF LSU

The top-rated non Power-5 team is guaranteed a spot in one of the New Year’s big bowls. That recipient is projected to be the UCF Knights.

National Championship Playoff Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
12/29/2018 Cotton Arlington, TX Clemson Notre Dame
12/29/2018 Orange Miami, FL Alabama Oklahoma

The CFP Selection Committee selects the top four teams to play for the National Championship. This year, the play-in games are the Cotton Bowl and the Orange Bowl. Our projections have the committee putting Alabama at 1, Clemson at 2, Notre Dame at 3 and Michigan at 4.

National Championship Bowl Projections

Date Bowl Location Team 1 Team 2
1/7/2019 Championship Santa Clara, CA Alabama Clemson

Our rating system projects that Alabama would be favored heavily against Oklahoma and Clemson would be favored over Notre Dame, thus pitting Alabama against Clemson in the National Championship for the third straight year.