AZ Alkmaar at Ajax

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

24.8%20.7%54.4%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawAjax Win
0.92Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-205
W 1-0 at Willem II-155
W 0-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+165
W 1-4 vs Twente-165
L 1-2 at Vitesse+110
Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Utrecht-230
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk-600
W 2-1 at Heerenveen-425
W 0-5 vs ADO Den Haag
W 2-0 at Zwolle-500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+450+515+525+560-+560+560-
Ajax-195-227-235-227--227-227-
Draw+335+416+385+410-+410+416-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+490----+460+460-
Ajax-200-----195-195-
Draw+355----+375+375-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +570 to +560
Ajax ML moved from -222 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +490 to +440
Ajax ML moved from -180 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½+100o3½+100o3½-105-o3½-105o3½+100-
Underu3+105u3½-123u3½-120u3½-115-u3½-115u3½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.75%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.53%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.69%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 039.77%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.90%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.27%
Exactly 126.81%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.22%
Exactly 49.20%
Exactly 53.71%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.62%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 065.25%
Exactly 127.86%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.26%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals38.54%
Wins by 3+ goals19.33%
Wins by 4+ goals8.02%
Wins by 5+ goals2.77%
Wins by 6+ goals0.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal11.04%
Wins by 2 goals4.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals19.21%
Wins by 3 goals11.32%
Wins by 4 goals5.25%
Wins by 5 goals2.00%
Wins by 6 goals0.63%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.19%20.81%
2.556.35%43.65%
3.533.96%66.04%
4.517.50%82.50%
5.57.81%92.19%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.23%39.77%
1.523.56%76.44%
2.56.65%93.35%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.73%13.27%
1.559.92%40.08%
2.532.86%67.14%
3.514.64%85.36%
4.55.44%94.56%
5.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.38%25.62%
1.539.49%60.51%
2.515.74%84.26%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.28%
10.66%
10.76%
7.25%
3.66%
1.48%
1
4.87%
9.83%
9.92%
6.68%
3.37%
1.36%
2
2.24%
4.53%
4.58%
3.08%
1.55%
0.63%
3
0.69%
1.39%
1.41%
0.95%
0.48%
0.19%
4
0.16%
0.32%
0.32%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-04.87%
2-02.24%
2-14.53%
3-00.69%
3-11.39%
3-21.41%
4-00.16%
4-10.32%
4-20.32%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-19.83%
2-24.58%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-110.66%
0-210.76%
1-29.92%
0-37.25%
1-36.68%
2-33.08%
0-43.66%
1-43.37%
2-41.55%
3-40.48%
0-51.48%
1-51.36%
2-50.63%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
25.62%
23.95%
11.20%
3.49%
0.82%
0.15%
1
10.94%
10.22%
4.78%
1.49%
0.35%
0.07%
2
2.33%
2.18%
1.02%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.94%
2-02.33%
2-12.18%
3-00.33%
3-10.31%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-025.62%
1-110.22%
2-21.02%
Ajax
0-123.95%
0-211.20%
1-24.78%
0-33.49%
1-31.49%
2-30.32%
0-40.82%
1-40.35%
0-50.15%