Heracles Almelo at Excelsior

Updated

Heracles Almelo

26.3%26.5%47.2%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.44
0Final Score 4

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 5-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+120
L 1-3 at Zwolle+195
L 2-0 vs Heerenveen+170
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+410
W 0-5 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
Excelsior
Money Line
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+125
T 2-2 at Ajax+700
W 0-4 vs Volendam-140
L 1-2 at Zwolle+275
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+1500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+247+357+340+310+358+310+358+330.6
Excelsior+102-147-150-139-158-139-139-124.1
Draw+289+341+320+345+337+345+345+367.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+260----+340+340+330.6
Excelsior-110-----140-140-124.1
Draw+300----+315+315+367.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +325 to +310
Excelsior ML moved from -149 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
Excelsior ML moved from -115 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-131o3½-101o3½+100o3¼-131o3½-102o3¼-131o3¼-131o3¼-120
Underu3+111u3½-117u3½-120u3¼+111u3½-118u3¼+111u3½-117u3¼+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-120
Under-----u3¼+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.95%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.15%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.34%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 036.56%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.51%
Exactly 36.21%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 023.61%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 311.83%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 51.23%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.17%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 062.76%
Exactly 129.24%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 051.26%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.45%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals9.53%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals23.10%
Wins by 3+ goals8.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal16.72%
Wins by 2 goals6.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals14.22%
Wins by 3 goals6.14%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.22%29.78%
2.544.32%55.68%
3.523.17%76.83%
4.510.22%89.78%
5.53.87%96.13%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.44%36.56%
1.526.65%73.35%
2.58.14%91.86%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.39%23.61%
1.542.30%57.70%
2.517.71%82.29%
3.55.87%94.13%
4.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.83%32.17%
1.531.34%68.66%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
Score012345
0
8.63%
12.46%
8.99%
4.33%
1.56%
0.45%
1
8.69%
12.54%
9.05%
4.35%
1.57%
0.45%
2
4.37%
6.31%
4.55%
2.19%
0.79%
0.23%
3
1.47%
2.12%
1.53%
0.73%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.37%
0.53%
0.38%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Heracles Almelo
1-08.69%
2-04.37%
2-16.31%
3-01.47%
3-12.12%
3-21.53%
4-00.37%
4-10.53%
4-20.38%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.63%
1-112.54%
2-24.55%
3-30.73%
Excelsior
0-112.46%
0-28.99%
1-29.05%
0-34.33%
1-34.35%
2-32.19%
0-41.56%
1-41.57%
2-40.79%
3-40.27%
0-50.45%
1-50.45%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
Score01234
0
32.17%
21.50%
7.18%
1.60%
0.27%
1
14.99%
10.02%
3.35%
0.75%
0.12%
2
3.49%
2.33%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.54%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-014.99%
2-03.49%
2-12.33%
3-00.54%
3-10.36%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.17%
1-110.02%
2-20.78%
Excelsior
0-121.50%
0-27.18%
1-23.35%
0-31.60%
1-30.75%
2-30.17%
0-40.27%
1-40.12%