AZ Alkmaar at Heerenveen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

49.7%24.8%25.5%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.61Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Vitesse-185
W 1-0 at PSV Eindhoven+500
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk-110
W 1-2 vs Volendam-475
L 1-2 at Excelsior-245
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 0-0 at RKC Waalwijk+150
W 1-2 vs Cambuur-140
W 1-0 at Excelsior-125
L 2-1 vs Utrecht+130
W 3-1 at Volendam+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+115+118+115+115+117+115+118+122.8
Heerenveen+225+246+235+240+261+240+261+270.7
Draw+255+242+235+245+246+245+246+255.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+115----+115+115+122.8
Heerenveen+230----+235+235+270.7
Draw+255----+245+245+255.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML
Heerenveen ML moved from +264 to +258

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-109o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104o2½-105o2½+104o2½+111
Underu2¾-118u2½-109u2½-115u2½-115u2½-119u2½-115u2½-109u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+111
Under-----u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.79%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 020.01%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 047.47%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 213.18%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 060.70%
Exactly 130.31%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals26.03%
Wins by 3+ goals10.89%
Wins by 4+ goals3.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals9.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals15.15%
Wins by 3 goals7.17%
Wins by 4 goals2.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal15.84%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.91%25.09%
2.550.33%49.67%
3.528.32%71.68%
4.513.53%86.47%
5.55.57%94.43%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.99%20.01%
1.547.80%52.20%
2.521.90%78.10%
3.58.01%91.99%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.99%34.01%
1.529.31%70.69%
2.59.53%90.47%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.33%64.67%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
6.80%
7.34%
3.96%
1.42%
0.38%
1
10.95%
11.81%
6.37%
2.29%
0.62%
2
8.81%
9.50%
5.12%
1.84%
0.50%
3
4.73%
5.10%
2.75%
0.99%
0.27%
4
1.90%
2.05%
1.11%
0.40%
0.11%
5
0.61%
0.66%
0.36%
0.13%
0.03%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.95%
2-08.81%
2-19.50%
3-04.73%
3-15.10%
3-22.75%
4-01.90%
4-12.05%
4-21.11%
4-30.40%
5-00.61%
5-10.66%
5-20.36%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-111.81%
2-25.12%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Heerenveen
0-17.34%
0-23.96%
1-26.37%
0-31.42%
1-32.29%
2-31.84%
0-40.38%
1-40.62%
2-40.50%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
28.81%
14.39%
3.59%
0.60%
1
21.47%
10.72%
2.68%
0.45%
2
8.00%
3.99%
1.00%
0.17%
3
1.99%
0.99%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.37%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-021.47%
2-08.00%
2-13.99%
3-01.99%
3-10.99%
3-20.25%
4-00.37%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-028.81%
1-110.72%
2-21.00%
Heerenveen
0-114.39%
0-23.59%
1-22.68%
0-30.60%
1-30.45%
2-30.17%