Almere City at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Almere City

12.1%19.1%68.8%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.10
2Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Utrecht
L 4-1 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 2-0 vs Heracles Almelo
T 0-0 at Groningen
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+225
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 1-2 at Groningen
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 1-0 at Zwolle
L 1-4 at Willem II+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+550+491+440+380+488+380+491+420.2
NEC Nijmegen-220-165-170-167-177-167-165-136.5
Draw+330+303+290+300+306+300+306+333.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City-----+420.2
NEC Nijmegen------136.5
Draw-----+333.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 40.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +460 to +440
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -169 to -192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-136o2¾-110o2¾-111o2¾-112o2¾-111o2½-136o2¾-101
Underu2¾-118u2½+115u2¾-110u2¾-109u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-108u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.80%
Exactly 223.51%
Exactly 415.89%
Exactly 64.30%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.51%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.05%
Exactly 71.75%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 047.43%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 213.19%
Exactly 33.28%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 012.22%
Exactly 125.69%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.92%
Exactly 49.94%
Exactly 54.18%
Exactly 61.46%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.75%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 310.22%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 070.80%
Exactly 124.45%
Exactly 24.22%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 037.79%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals3.25%
Wins by 3+ goals0.63%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals44.18%
Wins by 3+ goals23.23%
Wins by 4+ goals10.13%
Wins by 5+ goals3.73%
Wins by 6+ goals1.17%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal8.71%
Wins by 2 goals2.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.56%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.58%
Wins by 2 goals20.96%
Wins by 3 goals13.09%
Wins by 4 goals6.40%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.20%5.80%
1.577.70%22.30%
2.554.19%45.81%
3.531.87%68.13%
4.515.99%84.01%
5.56.94%93.06%
6.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.57%47.43%
1.517.19%82.81%
2.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.78%12.22%
1.562.09%37.91%
2.535.09%64.91%
3.516.17%83.83%
4.56.23%93.77%
5.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.25%26.75%
1.537.97%62.03%
2.514.72%85.28%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
5.80%
12.18%
12.81%
8.97%
4.72%
1.98%
1
4.32%
9.09%
9.55%
6.69%
3.52%
1.48%
2
1.61%
3.39%
3.56%
2.50%
1.31%
0.55%
3
0.40%
0.84%
0.89%
0.62%
0.33%
0.14%
Almere City
1-04.32%
2-01.61%
2-13.39%
3-00.40%
3-10.84%
3-20.89%
Draw
0-05.80%
1-19.09%
2-23.56%
3-30.62%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.18%
0-212.81%
1-29.55%
0-38.97%
1-36.69%
2-32.50%
0-44.72%
1-43.52%
2-41.31%
3-40.33%
0-51.98%
1-51.48%
2-50.55%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
26.75%
26.04%
12.67%
4.11%
1.00%
0.19%
1
9.24%
8.99%
4.38%
1.42%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.60%
1.55%
0.76%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Almere City
1-09.24%
2-01.60%
2-11.55%
3-00.18%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-026.75%
1-18.99%
2-20.76%
NEC Nijmegen
0-126.04%
0-212.67%
1-24.38%
0-34.11%
1-31.42%
2-30.25%
0-41.00%
1-40.35%
0-50.19%
Groningen at Willem II
RKC Waalwijk at Twente