Utrecht at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Utrecht

42.3%25.6%32.1%
Utrecht WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.51Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Cambuur-245
W 3-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+110
L 3-0 vs Ajax+550
T 1-1 vs Twente-110
T 2-2 at Fortuna Sittard-150
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-3 at Ajax+2500
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-120
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+190
T 1-1 vs Cambuur-120
W 2-4 vs Groningen+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+135+155+169+161+144+169+169+167.8
Heracles Almelo+185+175+158+182+175+158+182+188.8
Draw+235+230+245+241+249+245+249+256.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+125----+120+120+167.8
Heracles Almelo+210----+220+220+188.8
Draw+250----+250+250+256.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 40.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +141 to +132
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +175 to +168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-118o2½-111o2½-109-o2½-111o2½-109o2½-104
Underu2¾-112u2½-102u2½-109u2½-106-u2½-109u2½-102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.02%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.65%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 022.09%
Exactly 133.36%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 312.68%
Exactly 44.79%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.24%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 049.70%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 212.15%
Exactly 32.83%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals22.69%
Wins by 3+ goals8.94%
Wins by 4+ goals2.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals11.36%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.84%
Wins by 2 goals13.75%
Wins by 3 goals6.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal17.33%
Wins by 2 goals7.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.98%7.02%
1.574.33%25.67%
2.549.56%50.44%
3.527.62%72.38%
4.513.06%86.94%
5.55.33%94.67%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.91%22.09%
1.544.56%55.44%
2.519.37%80.63%
3.56.69%93.31%
4.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.76%29.24%
1.534.81%65.19%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.02%
8.05%
4.61%
1.76%
0.50%
0.12%
1
10.60%
12.15%
6.96%
2.66%
0.76%
0.17%
2
8.01%
9.18%
5.26%
2.01%
0.58%
0.13%
3
4.03%
4.62%
2.65%
1.01%
0.29%
0.07%
4
1.52%
1.74%
1.00%
0.38%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.46%
0.53%
0.30%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-010.60%
2-08.01%
2-19.18%
3-04.03%
3-14.62%
3-22.65%
4-01.52%
4-11.74%
4-21.00%
4-30.38%
5-00.46%
5-10.53%
5-20.30%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.02%
1-112.15%
2-25.26%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Heracles Almelo
0-18.05%
0-24.61%
1-26.96%
0-31.76%
1-32.66%
2-32.01%
0-40.50%
1-40.76%
2-40.58%
3-40.29%
0-50.12%
1-50.17%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
29.24%
15.51%
4.11%
0.73%
1
20.44%
10.85%
2.88%
0.51%
2
7.15%
3.79%
1.01%
0.18%
3
1.67%
0.88%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.29%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-020.44%
2-07.15%
2-13.79%
3-01.67%
3-10.88%
3-20.23%
4-00.29%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-029.24%
1-110.85%
2-21.01%
Heracles Almelo
0-115.51%
0-24.11%
1-22.88%
0-30.73%
1-30.51%
2-30.18%