Sparta R'dam at NAC Breda

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

34.9%25.1%40.0%
Sparta R'dam WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.36Projected Goals 1.47
1Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Willem II
L 0-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
L 0-3 at Feyenoord
W 0-1 vs Groningen
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 0-1 at Utrecht
T 0-0 vs Feyenoord
L 0-5 at RKC Waalwijk
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam+190+129+120+125+121+125+129+142.2
NAC Breda+135+231+225+200+228+200+231+222.9
Draw+225+232+235+235+231+235+235+260.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam-----+142.2
NAC Breda-----+222.9
Draw-----+260.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta R'dam ML moved from -110 to -120
NAC Breda ML moved from +229 to +222

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-106o2½-110o2½-110o2½-108o2½-110o2½-106o2½+100
Underu2¾-115u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-112u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%
 
No42.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.92%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 415.75%
Exactly 64.19%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.74%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.90%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 025.75%
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 310.72%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 023.00%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.02%
Exactly 223.14%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 310.09%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 053.35%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 210.53%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 050.64%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.72%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals15.65%
Wins by 3+ goals5.55%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals19.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.26%
Wins by 4+ goals2.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals10.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.97%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal20.79%
Wins by 2 goals11.86%
Wins by 3 goals5.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.08%5.92%
1.577.34%22.66%
2.553.68%46.32%
3.531.39%68.61%
4.515.65%84.35%
5.56.74%93.26%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.25%25.75%
1.539.32%60.68%
2.515.62%84.38%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.00%23.00%
1.543.19%56.81%
2.518.36%81.64%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.98%27.02%
1.537.62%62.38%
2.514.49%85.51%
3.54.40%95.60%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta R'dam
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
5.92%
8.70%
6.40%
3.13%
1.15%
0.34%
1
8.04%
11.81%
8.68%
4.25%
1.56%
0.46%
2
5.45%
8.01%
5.89%
2.88%
1.06%
0.31%
3
2.47%
3.62%
2.66%
1.30%
0.48%
0.14%
4
0.84%
1.23%
0.90%
0.44%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.23%
0.33%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-08.04%
2-05.45%
2-18.01%
3-02.47%
3-13.62%
3-22.66%
4-00.84%
4-11.23%
4-20.90%
4-30.44%
5-00.23%
5-10.33%
5-20.25%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-05.92%
1-111.81%
2-25.89%
3-31.30%
4-40.16%
NAC Breda
0-18.70%
0-26.40%
1-28.68%
0-33.13%
1-34.25%
2-32.88%
0-41.15%
1-41.56%
2-41.06%
3-40.48%
0-50.34%
1-50.46%
2-50.31%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta R'dam
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
27.02%
18.38%
6.25%
1.42%
0.24%
1
16.97%
11.55%
3.93%
0.89%
0.15%
2
5.33%
3.63%
1.23%
0.28%
0.05%
3
1.12%
0.76%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.18%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-016.97%
2-05.33%
2-13.63%
3-01.12%
3-10.76%
3-20.26%
4-00.18%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-027.02%
1-111.55%
2-21.23%
NAC Breda
0-118.38%
0-26.25%
1-23.93%
0-31.42%
1-30.89%
2-30.28%
0-40.24%
1-40.15%