NAC Breda at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

NAC Breda

2.8%5.9%91.3%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.75Projected Goals 4.08
2Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Twente
L 4-2 vs Heerenveen
L 1-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+500
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+280
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
L 1-3 at Zwolle
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 0-3 vs Feyenoord-160
L 0-1 at Heerenveen-410
W 1-6 vs Twente-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+1800+1658+1600+1350+1611+1350+1658+1465.2
PSV Eindhoven-850-760-850-833-916-833-760-478.4
Draw+750+906+800+750+900+750+906+817.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+1465.2
PSV Eindhoven------478.4
Draw-----+817.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 20.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +1503 to +1470
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -824 to -916

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o4+104o3¾-118o3¾-120o3¾-124o3¾-120o3¾-118o3¾-109
Underu3½-110u4-122u3¾-102u3¾+100u3¾+102u3¾+100u4-122u3¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾-109
Under-----u3¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-120 to o4-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 00.80%
Exactly 29.30%
Exactly 418.10%
Exactly 614.09%
Exactly 85.87%
Exactly 101.52%
Exactly 120.27%
 
Exactly 13.85%
Exactly 314.99%
Exactly 517.50%
Exactly 79.73%
Exactly 93.15%
Exactly 110.67%
Exactly 130.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 047.16%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.32%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 01.69%
Exactly 16.90%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 515.93%
Exactly 610.83%
Exactly 76.32%
Exactly 83.22%
Exactly 91.46%
Exactly 100.60%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 010.68%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.14%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.88%
Exactly 319.92%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 070.61%
Exactly 124.57%
Exactly 24.28%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 015.12%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.99%
Exactly 48.02%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals0.65%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals79.61%
Wins by 3+ goals62.99%
Wins by 4+ goals44.52%
Wins by 5+ goals27.99%
Wins by 6+ goals15.68%
Wins by 7+ goals7.85%
Wins by 8+ goals3.52%
Wins by 9+ goals1.39%
Wins by 10+ goals0.46%
Wins by 11+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal2.11%
Wins by 2 goals0.54%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal11.54%
Wins by 2 goals16.62%
Wins by 3 goals18.47%
Wins by 4 goals16.53%
Wins by 5 goals12.31%
Wins by 6 goals7.83%
Wins by 7 goals4.34%
Wins by 8 goals2.12%
Wins by 9 goals0.93%
Wins by 10 goals0.36%
Wins by 11 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.599.20%0.80%
1.595.35%4.65%
2.586.05%13.95%
3.571.06%28.94%
4.552.95%47.05%
5.535.46%64.54%
6.521.37%78.63%
7.511.64%88.36%
8.55.77%94.23%
9.52.61%97.39%
10.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.84%47.16%
1.517.39%82.61%
2.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.31%1.69%
1.591.41%8.59%
2.577.34%22.66%
3.558.21%41.79%
4.538.69%61.31%
5.522.75%77.25%
6.511.92%88.08%
7.55.61%94.39%
8.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.32%10.68%
1.565.44%34.56%
2.538.72%61.28%
3.518.80%81.20%
4.57.66%92.34%
5.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
0.80%
3.25%
6.64%
9.02%
9.21%
7.51%
1
0.60%
2.44%
4.99%
6.78%
6.92%
5.65%
2
0.23%
0.92%
1.87%
2.55%
2.60%
2.12%
NAC Breda
1-00.60%
2-00.23%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-00.80%
1-12.44%
2-21.87%
3-30.64%
4-40.12%
PSV Eindhoven
0-13.25%
0-26.64%
1-24.99%
0-39.02%
1-36.78%
2-32.55%
0-49.21%
1-46.92%
2-42.60%
3-40.65%
0-57.51%
1-55.65%
2-52.12%
3-50.53%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234567
0
10.68%
20.17%
19.05%
12.00%
5.67%
2.14%
0.67%
0.18%
1
3.72%
7.02%
6.63%
4.18%
1.97%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
2
0.65%
1.22%
1.15%
0.73%
0.34%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-03.72%
2-00.65%
2-11.22%
Draw
0-010.68%
1-17.02%
2-21.15%
PSV Eindhoven
0-120.17%
0-219.05%
1-26.63%
0-312.00%
1-34.18%
2-30.73%
0-45.67%
1-41.97%
2-40.34%
0-52.14%
1-50.75%
2-50.13%
0-60.67%
1-60.23%
0-70.18%
Utrecht at Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen at Groningen