Twente at NAC Breda

Updated

Twente

55.0%21.9%23.1%
Twente WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.95Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 2

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 2-6 vs Willem II
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+230
W 0-2 vs Groningen-320
L 1-6 at PSV Eindhoven+700
W 2-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles-175
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Heerenveen
L 1-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+500
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+280
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
W 0-1 vs Almere City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-140-131-135-133-139-133-131-111.8
NAC Breda+370+376+380+310+373+310+380+343.4
Draw+270+281+255+275+274+275+281+305.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente------111.8
NAC Breda-----+343.4
Draw-----+305.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -147 to -153
NAC Breda ML moved from +373 to +357

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-129o2¾+100o2¾-110o2¾-103o2¾-110o2½-129o2¾+100
Underu2¾-105u2½+110u2¾-120u2¾-110u2¾-117u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.9%
 
No40.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.29%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 417.58%
Exactly 65.81%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.50%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.07%
Exactly 72.61%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 014.17%
Exactly 127.69%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.62%
Exactly 48.61%
Exactly 53.36%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.27%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 44.38%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.93%
Exactly 312.02%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 040.46%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.56%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 057.50%
Exactly 131.82%
Exactly 28.80%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals32.12%
Wins by 3+ goals15.38%
Wins by 4+ goals6.10%
Wins by 5+ goals2.02%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals9.09%
Wins by 3+ goals2.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal22.81%
Wins by 2 goals16.74%
Wins by 3 goals9.28%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal13.95%
Wins by 2 goals6.26%
Wins by 3 goals2.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.71%4.29%
1.582.21%17.79%
2.560.94%39.06%
3.538.62%61.38%
4.521.04%78.96%
5.59.97%90.03%
6.54.16%95.84%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.83%14.17%
1.558.14%41.86%
2.531.09%68.91%
3.513.47%86.53%
4.54.86%95.14%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.74%30.26%
1.533.57%66.43%
2.511.95%88.05%
3.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.73%23.27%
1.542.81%57.19%
2.518.07%81.93%
3.56.05%93.95%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
4.29%
5.13%
3.06%
1.22%
0.36%
1
8.38%
10.02%
5.99%
2.38%
0.71%
2
8.19%
9.79%
5.85%
2.33%
0.70%
3
5.33%
6.37%
3.81%
1.52%
0.45%
4
2.61%
3.11%
1.86%
0.74%
0.22%
5
1.02%
1.22%
0.73%
0.29%
0.09%
Twente
1-08.38%
2-08.19%
2-19.79%
3-05.33%
3-16.37%
3-23.81%
4-02.61%
4-13.11%
4-21.86%
4-30.74%
5-01.02%
5-11.22%
5-20.73%
5-30.29%
Draw
0-04.29%
1-110.02%
2-25.85%
3-31.52%
4-40.22%
NAC Breda
0-15.13%
0-23.06%
1-25.99%
0-31.22%
1-32.38%
2-32.33%
0-40.36%
1-40.71%
2-40.70%
3-40.45%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
23.27%
12.88%
3.56%
0.66%
1
21.05%
11.65%
3.22%
0.59%
2
9.52%
5.27%
1.46%
0.27%
3
2.87%
1.59%
0.44%
0.08%
4
0.65%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Twente
1-021.05%
2-09.52%
2-15.27%
3-02.87%
3-11.59%
3-20.44%
4-00.65%
4-10.36%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-023.27%
1-111.65%
2-21.46%
NAC Breda
0-112.88%
0-23.56%
1-23.22%
0-30.66%
1-30.59%
2-30.27%