Feyenoord at Excelsior

Updated

Feyenoord

65.9%19.7%14.3%
Feyenoord WinDrawWin
2.10Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Feyenoord
Money Line
W 0-2 vs NAC Breda
L 0-2 at Heerenveen
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 3-2 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 4-1 at Heracles Almelo
Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-5 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-7 vs ADO Den Haag-110
W 2-1 at ADO Den Haag+155
L 0-4 at Feyenoord+700
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord-176-200-210-200-215-200-200-173.3
Excelsior+460+512+500+460+494+460+512+488.8
Draw+347+377+350+385+378+385+385+409.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord------173.3
Excelsior-----+488.8
Draw-----+409.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Feyenoord: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Feyenoord: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Feyenoord ML moved from -215 to -227
Excelsior ML moved from +470 to +460

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+116o3-124o3¼+102o3¼+100o3¼+101o3¼+100o3-124o3¼+109
Underu3-136u3+106u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-123u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3¼+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.19%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 416.56%
Exactly 64.83%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.36%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.80%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Feyenoord
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.75%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 042.29%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.66%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.42%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Feyenoord
Exactly 037.87%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 067.14%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 25.33%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Feyenoord
Wins by 2+ goals41.72%
Wins by 3+ goals21.67%
Wins by 4+ goals9.37%
Wins by 5+ goals3.42%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals4.40%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Feyenoord
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Feyenoord
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals20.04%
Wins by 3 goals12.31%
Wins by 4 goals5.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.36%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.91%
Wins by 2 goals3.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.81%5.19%
1.579.45%20.55%
2.556.73%43.27%
3.534.33%65.67%
4.517.77%82.23%
5.57.97%92.03%
6.53.14%96.86%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Feyenoord Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.97%38.03%
2.534.96%65.04%
3.516.09%83.91%
4.56.19%93.81%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.71%42.29%
1.521.31%78.69%
2.55.65%94.35%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.58%25.42%
1.539.76%60.24%
2.515.92%84.08%
3.55.03%94.97%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Feyenoord
Excelsior
Score01234
0
5.19%
4.47%
1.92%
0.55%
0.12%
1
10.89%
9.37%
4.03%
1.16%
0.25%
2
11.42%
9.83%
4.23%
1.21%
0.26%
3
7.98%
6.87%
2.96%
0.85%
0.18%
4
4.19%
3.60%
1.55%
0.44%
0.10%
5
1.76%
1.51%
0.65%
0.19%
0.04%
Feyenoord
1-010.89%
2-011.42%
2-19.83%
3-07.98%
3-16.87%
3-22.96%
4-04.19%
4-13.60%
4-21.55%
4-30.44%
5-01.76%
5-11.51%
5-20.65%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.19%
1-19.37%
2-24.23%
3-30.85%
Excelsior
0-14.47%
0-21.92%
1-24.03%
0-30.55%
1-31.16%
2-31.21%
0-40.12%
1-40.25%
2-40.26%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Feyenoord
Excelsior
Score0123
0
25.42%
10.13%
2.02%
0.27%
1
24.69%
9.84%
1.96%
0.26%
2
11.99%
4.78%
0.95%
0.13%
3
3.88%
1.55%
0.31%
0.04%
4
0.94%
0.38%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Feyenoord
1-024.69%
2-011.99%
2-14.78%
3-03.88%
3-11.55%
3-20.31%
4-00.94%
4-10.38%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-025.42%
1-19.84%
2-20.95%
Excelsior
0-110.13%
0-22.02%
1-21.96%
0-30.27%
1-30.26%
2-30.13%