Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Last 5 Games
Money Line Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | +339 | +374 | +380 | +365 | +380 | +365 | +380 | +387.6 |
| NEC Nijmegen | -127 | -147 | -161 | -154 | -162 | -154 | -147 | -137.1 |
| Draw | +297 | +326 | +320 | +340 | +329 | +340 | +340 | +361.4 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | - | - | - | - | - | +387.6 | ||
| NEC Nijmegen | - | - | - | - | - | -137.1 | ||
| Draw | - | - | - | - | - | +361.4 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOver/Under Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | o2½-119 | o3-121 | o3-125 | o3-120 | o3-122 | o3-120 | o3-120 | o3-109 |
| Under | u2½+101 | u3+103 | u3+105 | u3+100 | u3+100 | u3+100 | u3+105 | u3+109 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | - | - | - | - | - | o3-109 | ||
| Under | - | - | - | - | - | u3+109 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveGoal Props
Both Teams to Score | |
|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% |
Total Goals
Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 6.87% |
| Exactly 2 | 24.63% |
| Exactly 4 | 14.73% |
| Exactly 6 | 3.52% |
| Exactly 8 | 0.45% |
| Exactly 1 | 18.39% |
| Exactly 3 | 21.99% |
| Exactly 5 | 7.89% |
| Exactly 7 | 1.35% |
| Exactly 9 | 0.13% |
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 43.06% |
| Exactly 1 | 36.28% |
| Exactly 2 | 15.29% |
| Exactly 3 | 4.29% |
| Exactly 4 | 0.90% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.15% |
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 15.95% |
| Exactly 1 | 29.28% |
| Exactly 2 | 26.87% |
| Exactly 3 | 16.45% |
| Exactly 4 | 7.55% |
| Exactly 5 | 2.77% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.85% |
| Exactly 7 | 0.22% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 28.94% |
| Exactly 2 | 22.25% |
| Exactly 4 | 2.85% |
| Exactly 6 | 0.15% |
| Exactly 1 | 35.88% |
| Exactly 3 | 9.20% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.71% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 67.70% |
| Exactly 1 | 26.41% |
| Exactly 2 | 5.15% |
| Exactly 3 | 0.67% |
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0 | 42.74% |
| Exactly 1 | 36.33% |
| Exactly 2 | 15.44% |
| Exactly 3 | 4.37% |
| Exactly 4 | 0.93% |
| Exactly 5 | 0.16% |
Alternate Props
Spread
| Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 5.17% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 1.20% |
| Wins by 4+ goals | 0.21% |
| NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 2+ goals | 35.57% |
| Wins by 3+ goals | 16.75% |
| Wins by 4+ goals | 6.47% |
| Wins by 5+ goals | 2.08% |
| Wins by 6+ goals | 0.54% |
Exact Winning Margin
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
| Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 11.58% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 3.96% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 0.99% |
| Wins by 4 goals | 0.19% |
| NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| Wins by 1 goal | 25.22% |
| Wins by 2 goals | 18.82% |
| Wins by 3 goals | 10.28% |
| Wins by 4 goals | 4.39% |
| Wins by 5 goals | 1.53% |
| Wins by 6 goals | 0.45% |
Total Goals Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93.13% | 6.87% |
| 1.5 | 74.74% | 25.26% |
| 2.5 | 50.11% | 49.89% |
| 3.5 | 28.12% | 71.88% |
| 4.5 | 13.39% | 86.61% |
| 5.5 | 5.50% | 94.50% |
| 6.5 | 1.98% | 98.02% |
Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 56.94% | 43.06% |
| 1.5 | 20.66% | 79.34% |
| 2.5 | 5.37% | 94.63% |
| 3.5 | 1.08% | 98.92% |
Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84.05% | 15.95% |
| 1.5 | 54.77% | 45.23% |
| 2.5 | 27.90% | 72.10% |
| 3.5 | 11.45% | 88.55% |
| 4.5 | 3.91% | 96.09% |
| 5.5 | 1.13% | 98.87% |
Total Goals - First Half Over/Under
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71.06% | 28.94% |
| 1.5 | 35.18% | 64.82% |
| 2.5 | 12.93% | 87.07% |
| 3.5 | 3.74% | 96.26% |
Score Props
Correct Score
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.87% | 12.61% | 11.57% | 7.08% | 3.25% | 1.19% |
| 1 | 5.79% | 10.62% | 9.75% | 5.97% | 2.74% | 1.01% |
| 2 | 2.44% | 4.48% | 4.11% | 2.51% | 1.15% | 0.42% |
| 3 | 0.68% | 1.26% | 1.15% | 0.71% | 0.32% | 0.12% |
| 4 | 0.14% | 0.26% | 0.24% | 0.15% | 0.07% | 0.03% |
| Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 5.79% |
| 2-0 | 2.44% |
| 2-1 | 4.48% |
| 3-0 | 0.68% |
| 3-1 | 1.26% |
| 3-2 | 1.15% |
| 4-0 | 0.14% |
| 4-1 | 0.26% |
| 4-2 | 0.24% |
| 4-3 | 0.15% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 6.87% |
| 1-1 | 10.62% |
| 2-2 | 4.11% |
| 3-3 | 0.71% |
| NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 12.61% |
| 0-2 | 11.57% |
| 1-2 | 9.75% |
| 0-3 | 7.08% |
| 1-3 | 5.97% |
| 2-3 | 2.51% |
| 0-4 | 3.25% |
| 1-4 | 2.74% |
| 2-4 | 1.15% |
| 3-4 | 0.32% |
| 0-5 | 1.19% |
| 1-5 | 1.01% |
| 2-5 | 0.42% |
| 3-5 | 0.12% |
Correct Score - First Half
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.94% | 24.59% | 10.45% | 2.96% | 0.63% | 0.11% |
| 1 | 11.29% | 9.60% | 4.08% | 1.16% | 0.25% | 0.04% |
| 2 | 2.20% | 1.87% | 0.80% | 0.23% | 0.05% | 0.01% |
| 3 | 0.29% | 0.24% | 0.10% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Excelsior | |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | 11.29% |
| 2-0 | 2.20% |
| 2-1 | 1.87% |
| 3-0 | 0.29% |
| 3-1 | 0.24% |
| 3-2 | 0.10% |
| Draw | |
|---|---|
| 0-0 | 28.94% |
| 1-1 | 9.60% |
| 2-2 | 0.80% |
| NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|
| 0-1 | 24.59% |
| 0-2 | 10.45% |
| 1-2 | 4.08% |
| 0-3 | 2.96% |
| 1-3 | 1.16% |
| 2-3 | 0.23% |
| 0-4 | 0.63% |
| 1-4 | 0.25% |
| 0-5 | 0.11% |