Go Ahead Eag at Ajax

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

9.2%15.0%75.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.57
1Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Excelsior-210
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+125
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+570
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-120
L 0-3 at Twente+600
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-1 at Zwolle-180
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+115
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-190
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+100
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+500+419+400+450+435+450+450+496.5
Ajax-193-163-175-213-174-213-163-168.4
Draw+365+340+330+350+355+350+355+388.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+460----+430+430+496.5
Ajax-190-----175-175-168.4
Draw+360----+345+345+388.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +445 to +435
Ajax ML moved from -201 to -207

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +440 to +430
Ajax ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-124o3-119o3-120o3-105o3-109o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3+106u3+101u3+100u3-115u3-109u3-115u3+101u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-118 to o3ΒΌ-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.50%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 418.42%
Exactly 66.90%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.73%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 512.35%
Exactly 73.30%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 045.54%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 214.09%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.69%
Exactly 119.72%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 413.88%
Exactly 57.12%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.18%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 45.12%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.87%
Exactly 313.20%
Exactly 51.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 069.47%
Exactly 125.30%
Exactly 24.61%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.49%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals2.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.05%
Wins by 3+ goals32.54%
Wins by 4+ goals16.59%
Wins by 5+ goals7.24%
Wins by 6+ goals2.74%
Wins by 7+ goals0.90%
Wins by 8+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal6.64%
Wins by 2 goals2.02%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.66%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals15.95%
Wins by 4 goals9.34%
Wins by 5 goals4.51%
Wins by 6 goals1.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.50%3.50%
1.584.77%15.23%
2.565.10%34.90%
3.543.12%56.88%
4.524.70%75.30%
5.512.35%87.65%
6.55.45%94.55%
7.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.46%45.54%
1.518.64%81.36%
2.54.55%95.45%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.31%7.69%
1.572.59%27.41%
2.547.29%52.71%
3.525.66%74.34%
4.511.78%88.22%
5.54.66%95.34%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.82%21.18%
1.545.95%54.05%
2.520.44%79.56%
3.57.24%92.76%
4.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.50%
8.98%
11.52%
9.85%
6.32%
3.24%
1
2.75%
7.06%
9.06%
7.75%
4.97%
2.55%
2
1.08%
2.78%
3.56%
3.05%
1.96%
1.00%
3
0.28%
0.73%
0.93%
0.80%
0.51%
0.26%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-02.75%
2-01.08%
2-12.78%
3-00.28%
3-10.73%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-03.50%
1-17.06%
2-23.56%
3-30.80%
4-40.10%
Ajax
0-18.98%
0-211.52%
1-29.06%
0-39.85%
1-37.75%
2-33.05%
0-46.32%
1-44.97%
2-41.96%
3-40.51%
0-53.24%
1-52.55%
2-51.00%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
21.18%
25.16%
14.94%
5.92%
1.76%
0.42%
1
7.71%
9.16%
5.44%
2.16%
0.64%
0.15%
2
1.40%
1.67%
0.99%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-07.71%
2-01.40%
2-11.67%
3-00.17%
3-10.20%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-021.18%
1-19.16%
2-20.99%
Ajax
0-125.16%
0-214.94%
1-25.44%
0-35.92%
1-32.16%
2-30.39%
0-41.76%
1-40.64%
2-40.12%
0-50.42%
1-50.15%
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