Go Ahead Eag at Ajax

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

8.6%14.0%77.4%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.70
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 2-4 at Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 vs Twente
W 1-2 vs Groningen
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord
W 2-0 at Heerenveen
W 1-2 vs RKC Waalwijk

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+493+549+500+490+532+490+549+520.1
Ajax-199-213-215-204-231-204-204-176.6
Draw+386+386+350+375+390+375+390+399.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+520.1
Ajax------176.6
Draw-----+399.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +520 to +490
Ajax ML moved from -227 to -233

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-124o3-126o3¼+102o3-121o3-124o3-121o3-121o3-110
Underu3+106u3+107u3¼-122u3+101u3+102u3+101u3¼-122u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-110
Under-----u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.03%
Exactly 218.52%
Exactly 418.87%
Exactly 67.70%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.59%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 513.20%
Exactly 73.84%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 044.97%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.36%
Exactly 33.83%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.73%
Exactly 118.17%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 414.87%
Exactly 58.02%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 80.47%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.80%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 45.67%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.07%
Exactly 314.01%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 069.07%
Exactly 125.56%
Exactly 24.73%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals2.38%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals56.57%
Wins by 3+ goals35.16%
Wins by 4+ goals18.60%
Wins by 5+ goals8.46%
Wins by 6+ goals3.33%
Wins by 7+ goals1.14%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal6.15%
Wins by 2 goals1.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.43%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.78%
Wins by 2 goals21.41%
Wins by 3 goals16.56%
Wins by 4 goals10.14%
Wins by 5 goals5.12%
Wins by 6 goals2.19%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.97%3.03%
1.586.38%13.62%
2.567.87%32.13%
3.546.28%53.72%
4.527.41%72.59%
5.514.20%85.80%
6.56.51%93.49%
7.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.03%44.97%
1.519.09%80.91%
2.54.73%95.27%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.27%6.73%
1.575.10%24.90%
2.550.59%49.41%
3.528.55%71.45%
4.513.68%86.32%
5.55.66%94.34%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.20%19.80%
1.548.13%51.87%
2.522.16%77.84%
3.58.15%91.85%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.03%
8.17%
11.02%
9.91%
6.69%
3.61%
1
2.42%
6.53%
8.81%
7.92%
5.34%
2.88%
2
0.97%
2.61%
3.52%
3.17%
2.14%
1.15%
3
0.26%
0.70%
0.94%
0.84%
0.57%
0.31%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-02.42%
2-00.97%
2-12.61%
3-00.26%
3-10.70%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-03.03%
1-16.53%
2-23.52%
3-30.84%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-18.17%
0-211.02%
1-28.81%
0-39.91%
1-37.92%
2-33.17%
0-46.69%
1-45.34%
2-42.14%
3-40.57%
0-53.61%
1-52.88%
2-51.15%
3-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.80%
24.74%
15.45%
6.43%
2.01%
0.50%
0.10%
1
7.33%
9.15%
5.72%
2.38%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
2
1.36%
1.69%
1.06%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-07.33%
2-01.36%
2-11.69%
3-00.17%
3-10.21%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-019.80%
1-19.15%
2-21.06%
Ajax
0-124.74%
0-215.45%
1-25.72%
0-36.43%
1-32.38%
2-30.44%
0-42.01%
1-40.74%
2-40.14%
0-50.50%
1-50.19%
0-60.10%