Ajax at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Ajax

83.5%11.2%5.3%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.90Projected Goals 0.63
4Final Score 1

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Excelsior-1600
W 4-2 at Volendam-675
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-1200
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-500
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
W 3-2 at Groningen+230
T 2-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+105
W 1-5 vs Cambuur+120
L 0-1 at PSV Eindhoven+1250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-420-307-325-340--340-307-287.0
RKC Waalwijk+800+738+675+725-+725+738+838.5
Draw+575+501+475+545-+545+545+558.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-375-----350-350-287.0
RKC Waalwijk+825----+825+825+838.5
Draw+540----+510+510+558.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -345 to -360
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +760 to +738

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -385 to -400
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +870 to +825

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-110o3½-121o3½-118o3½-113-o3½-113o3½-113o3½-106
Underu4-110u3½+103u3½-102u3½-107-u3½-107u3½+103u3½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-106
Under-----u3½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.93%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 418.96%
Exactly 67.87%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.35%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.38%
Exactly 73.97%
Exactly 90.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.48%
Exactly 115.92%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.24%
Exactly 59.43%
Exactly 64.56%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 053.51%
Exactly 133.46%
Exactly 210.46%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.51%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 314.19%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 074.86%
Exactly 121.67%
Exactly 23.14%
Exactly 30.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals64.40%
Wins by 3+ goals42.63%
Wins by 4+ goals24.13%
Wins by 5+ goals11.77%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals1.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals21.77%
Wins by 3 goals18.50%
Wins by 4 goals12.37%
Wins by 5 goals6.79%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal4.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.07%2.93%
1.586.72%13.28%
2.568.45%31.55%
3.546.96%53.04%
4.528.01%71.99%
5.514.63%85.37%
6.56.76%93.24%
7.52.79%97.21%
8.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.52%5.48%
1.578.60%21.40%
2.555.49%44.51%
3.533.12%66.88%
4.516.89%83.11%
5.57.45%92.55%
6.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.49%53.51%
1.513.03%86.97%
2.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.49%19.51%
1.548.60%51.40%
2.522.55%77.45%
3.58.36%91.64%
4.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score0123
0
2.93%
1.83%
0.57%
0.12%
1
8.52%
5.33%
1.67%
0.35%
2
12.37%
7.73%
2.42%
0.50%
3
11.97%
7.48%
2.34%
0.49%
4
8.69%
5.43%
1.70%
0.35%
5
5.05%
3.16%
0.99%
0.21%
Ajax
1-08.52%
2-012.37%
2-17.73%
3-011.97%
3-17.48%
3-22.34%
4-08.69%
4-15.43%
4-21.70%
4-30.35%
5-05.05%
5-13.16%
5-20.99%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-02.93%
1-15.33%
2-22.42%
3-30.49%
RKC Waalwijk
0-11.83%
0-20.57%
1-21.67%
0-30.12%
1-30.35%
2-30.50%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score0123
0
19.51%
5.65%
0.82%
0.08%
1
26.24%
7.60%
1.10%
0.11%
2
17.64%
5.11%
0.74%
0.07%
3
7.90%
2.29%
0.33%
0.03%
4
2.66%
0.77%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.71%
0.21%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-026.24%
2-017.64%
2-15.11%
3-07.90%
3-12.29%
3-20.33%
4-02.66%
4-10.77%
4-20.11%
5-00.71%
5-10.21%
6-00.16%
Draw
0-019.51%
1-17.60%
2-20.74%
RKC Waalwijk
0-15.65%
0-20.82%
1-21.10%
1-30.11%