Fortuna Sittard at Ajax

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

4.8%2.6%92.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.22Projected Goals 4.21
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Utrecht+375
W 1-0 at Zwolle+275
L 0-5 at Feyenoord+1700
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+1060
L 4-1 vs Groningen+170
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-0 at Feyenoord-125
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar-410
W 0-5 vs Willem II-1500
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-650
W 5-0 at RKC Waalwijk-900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+3467+3500+3300+4984+3466+3300+4984+5003.7
Ajax-2915-2500-2500-2269-3436-2500-2269-1244.1
Draw+1436+1400+1600+1919+1559+1600+1919+1724.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard-----+5003.7
Ajax------1244.1
Draw-----+1724.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +4422 to +3750
Ajax ML moved from -1943 to -2269

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-118o4½-105o4½-111o4½-104-o4½-111o4½-104o4½+103
Underu4-102u4½-115u4½-109u4½-111-u4½-109u4½-109u4½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4½+103
Under-----u4½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes19.2%
 
No80.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.19%
Exactly 211.69%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 612.51%
Exactly 84.38%
Exactly 100.96%
Exactly 120.14%
 
Exactly 15.28%
Exactly 317.26%
Exactly 516.94%
Exactly 77.91%
Exactly 92.16%
Exactly 110.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 080.53%
Exactly 117.44%
Exactly 21.89%
Exactly 30.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 01.48%
Exactly 16.24%
Exactly 213.13%
Exactly 318.45%
Exactly 419.43%
Exactly 516.37%
Exactly 611.50%
Exactly 76.92%
Exactly 83.64%
Exactly 91.71%
Exactly 100.72%
Exactly 110.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 012.86%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.48%
Exactly 61.33%
 
Exactly 126.38%
Exactly 318.49%
Exactly 53.89%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 090.46%
Exactly 19.07%
Exactly 20.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 014.22%
Exactly 127.73%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.59%
Exactly 48.58%
Exactly 53.35%
Exactly 61.09%
Exactly 70.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals89.18%
Wins by 3+ goals75.00%
Wins by 4+ goals56.43%
Wins by 5+ goals37.70%
Wins by 6+ goals22.38%
Wins by 7+ goals11.84%
Wins by 8+ goals5.60%
Wins by 9+ goals2.35%
Wins by 10+ goals0.85%
Wins by 11+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal0.39%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal7.69%
Wins by 2 goals14.18%
Wins by 3 goals18.57%
Wins by 4 goals18.73%
Wins by 5 goals15.32%
Wins by 6 goals10.54%
Wins by 7 goals6.24%
Wins by 8 goals3.25%
Wins by 9 goals1.50%
Wins by 10 goals0.63%
Wins by 11 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.81%1.19%
1.593.53%6.47%
2.581.84%18.16%
3.564.57%35.43%
4.545.45%54.55%
5.528.51%71.49%
6.516.01%83.99%
7.58.09%91.91%
8.53.71%96.29%
9.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.519.47%80.53%
1.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.52%1.48%
1.592.28%7.72%
2.579.15%20.85%
3.560.70%39.30%
4.541.27%58.73%
5.524.90%75.10%
6.513.40%86.60%
7.56.49%93.51%
8.52.84%97.16%
9.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.14%12.86%
1.560.76%39.24%
2.533.71%66.29%
3.515.22%84.78%
4.55.74%94.26%
5.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score01234
0
1.19%
5.02%
10.58%
14.85%
15.65%
1
0.26%
1.09%
2.29%
3.22%
3.39%
Fortuna Sittard
1-00.26%
Draw
0-01.19%
1-11.09%
2-20.25%
Ajax
0-15.02%
0-210.58%
1-22.29%
0-314.85%
1-33.22%
2-30.35%
0-415.65%
1-43.39%
2-40.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score01234567
0
12.86%
25.09%
24.47%
15.91%
7.76%
3.03%
0.98%
0.27%
1
1.29%
2.52%
2.45%
1.60%
0.78%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
Fortuna Sittard
1-01.29%
Draw
0-012.86%
1-12.52%
Ajax
0-125.09%
0-224.47%
1-22.45%
0-315.91%
1-31.60%
0-47.76%
1-40.78%
0-53.03%
1-50.30%
0-60.98%
0-70.27%