Heracles Almelo at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heracles Almelo

12.5%18.4%69.0%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.22
1Final Score 4

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 2-4 at Feyenoord
L 2-0 vs Twente
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-0 vs Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 3-1 at AZ Alkmaar
W 1-2 vs Zwolle
W 4-3 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs Ajax
T 2-2 at Telstar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+550-+625+650+650+650+650+682.0
NEC Nijmegen-265--270-244-244-244-244-212.8
Draw+435-+400+400+400+400+400+421.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+682.0
NEC Nijmegen------212.8
Draw-----+421.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +575 to +550
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -250 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102-o3-115o3¼+114o3¼+114o3¼+114o3-115o3¼+123
Underu3½-118-u3-105u3¼-134u3¼-134u3¼-134u3¼-134u3¼-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+123
Under-----u3¼-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.78%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 65.25%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.53%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 043.83%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.91%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 010.90%
Exactly 124.16%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 319.78%
Exactly 410.96%
Exactly 54.86%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 51.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 068.26%
Exactly 126.07%
Exactly 24.98%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 035.84%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals3.70%
Wins by 3+ goals0.83%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals45.27%
Wins by 3+ goals24.54%
Wins by 4+ goals11.11%
Wins by 5+ goals4.26%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal8.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal23.71%
Wins by 2 goals20.73%
Wins by 3 goals13.43%
Wins by 4 goals6.85%
Wins by 5 goals2.87%
Wins by 6 goals1.01%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.22%4.78%
1.580.69%19.31%
2.558.59%41.41%
3.536.19%63.81%
4.519.17%80.83%
5.58.81%91.19%
6.53.56%96.44%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.17%43.83%
1.520.02%79.98%
2.55.11%94.89%
3.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.10%10.90%
1.564.93%35.07%
2.538.16%61.84%
3.518.38%81.62%
4.57.42%92.58%
5.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.54%24.46%
1.541.09%58.91%
2.516.84%83.16%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
4.78%
10.59%
11.73%
8.67%
4.80%
2.13%
1
3.94%
8.74%
9.68%
7.15%
3.96%
1.76%
2
1.63%
3.60%
3.99%
2.95%
1.63%
0.72%
3
0.45%
0.99%
1.10%
0.81%
0.45%
0.20%
Heracles Almelo
1-03.94%
2-01.63%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.99%
3-21.10%
Draw
0-04.78%
1-18.74%
2-23.99%
3-30.81%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.59%
0-211.73%
1-29.68%
0-38.67%
1-37.15%
2-32.95%
0-44.80%
1-43.96%
2-41.63%
3-40.45%
0-52.13%
1-51.76%
2-50.72%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
24.46%
25.10%
12.88%
4.40%
1.13%
0.23%
1
9.34%
9.59%
4.92%
1.68%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.78%
1.83%
0.94%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.23%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-09.34%
2-01.78%
2-11.83%
3-00.23%
3-10.23%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.46%
1-19.59%
2-20.94%
NEC Nijmegen
0-125.10%
0-212.88%
1-24.92%
0-34.40%
1-31.68%
2-30.32%
0-41.13%
1-40.43%
0-50.23%