Zwolle at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Zwolle

9.4%15.8%74.8%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.45
1Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
W 1-3 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 1-1 at Twente
L 1-2 at Excelsior
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 1-6 at Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 4-3 at NAC Breda
T 2-2 vs Ajax
T 2-2 at Telstar
W 3-2 at Volendam
W 1-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+500-+500+525+525+525+525+545.5
NEC Nijmegen-230--220-200-200-200-200-182.1
Draw+390-+375+385+385+385+385+400.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle-----+545.5
NEC Nijmegen------182.1
Draw-----+400.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +550 to +525
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -211 to -218

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3¼-122o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-109
Underu3¼-102-u3¼+102u3¼+100u3¼+100u3¼+100u3¼+102u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-109
Under-----u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.05%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 417.84%
Exactly 66.11%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.98%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.44%
Exactly 72.80%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 047.14%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.33%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 08.59%
Exactly 121.08%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 412.99%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.66%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 44.59%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 312.36%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 070.60%
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 24.28%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 032.09%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals2.49%
Wins by 3+ goals0.47%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals52.28%
Wins by 3+ goals30.62%
Wins by 4+ goals15.08%
Wins by 5+ goals6.32%
Wins by 6+ goals2.26%
Wins by 7+ goals0.66%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal6.85%
Wins by 2 goals2.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.41%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals15.53%
Wins by 4 goals8.77%
Wins by 5 goals4.06%
Wins by 6 goals1.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.53%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.95%4.05%
1.582.97%17.03%
2.562.15%37.85%
3.539.89%60.11%
4.522.06%77.94%
5.510.62%89.38%
6.54.50%95.50%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.86%47.14%
1.517.41%82.59%
2.54.08%95.92%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.41%8.59%
1.570.33%29.67%
2.544.45%55.55%
3.523.28%76.72%
4.510.28%89.72%
5.53.91%96.09%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.34%22.66%
1.543.70%56.30%
2.518.73%81.27%
3.56.37%93.63%
4.51.79%98.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
4.05%
9.94%
12.20%
9.98%
6.13%
3.01%
1
3.05%
7.47%
9.17%
7.51%
4.61%
2.26%
2
1.14%
2.81%
3.45%
2.82%
1.73%
0.85%
3
0.29%
0.70%
0.86%
0.71%
0.43%
0.21%
Zwolle
1-03.05%
2-01.14%
2-12.81%
3-00.29%
3-10.70%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-04.05%
1-17.47%
2-23.45%
3-30.71%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.94%
0-212.20%
1-29.17%
0-39.98%
1-37.51%
2-32.82%
0-46.13%
1-44.61%
2-41.73%
3-40.43%
0-53.01%
1-52.26%
2-50.85%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
22.66%
25.75%
14.63%
5.54%
1.57%
0.36%
1
7.89%
8.97%
5.09%
1.93%
0.55%
0.12%
2
1.37%
1.56%
0.89%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-07.89%
2-01.37%
2-11.56%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-022.66%
1-18.97%
2-20.89%
NEC Nijmegen
0-125.75%
0-214.63%
1-25.09%
0-35.54%
1-31.93%
2-30.34%
0-41.57%
1-40.55%
0-50.36%
1-50.12%
Volendam at Ajax
NAC Breda at PSV Eindhoven