Sparta R'dam at Excelsior

Updated

Sparta Rotterdam

50.1%25.5%24.4%
Sparta R'dam WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.55Projected Goals 1.00
1Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Feyenoord
W 3-0 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 1-2 vs Utrecht
L 1-6 at PSV Eindhoven
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Twente
L 1-4 at Utrecht
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord
L 0-5 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-7 vs ADO Den Haag-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam+136+171+160+177+167+160+171+173.8
Excelsior+193+152+150+138+144+149+152+162.2
Draw+264+266+260+275+263+275+275+294.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sparta R'dam-----+173.8
Excelsior-----+162.2
Draw-----+294.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sparta R'dam: 50.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sparta R'dam: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sparta R'dam ML moved from +177 to +171
Excelsior ML moved from +147 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o3-112o3-120o3¼+106o3-115o3¼+106o3-112o3¼+115
Underu2½+116u3-105u3+100u3¼-126u3-105u3¼-126u3¼-126u3¼-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+115
Under-----u3¼-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.83%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 413.73%
Exactly 62.97%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.95%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 57.00%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 021.26%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.15%
Exactly 45.09%
Exactly 51.58%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 036.83%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.37%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.75%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 048.83%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.55%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 062.97%
Exactly 129.12%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals25.70%
Wins by 3+ goals10.44%
Wins by 4+ goals3.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals8.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal24.25%
Wins by 2 goals15.26%
Wins by 3 goals7.03%
Wins by 4 goals2.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal15.64%
Wins by 2 goals6.35%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.17%7.83%
1.572.22%27.78%
2.546.82%53.18%
3.525.25%74.75%
4.511.52%88.48%
5.54.52%95.48%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.74%21.26%
1.545.82%54.18%
2.520.34%79.66%
3.57.18%92.82%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.17%36.83%
1.526.38%73.62%
2.58.01%91.99%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.25%30.75%
1.532.99%67.01%
2.511.61%88.39%
3.53.20%96.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sparta R'dam
Excelsior
Score01234
0
7.83%
7.82%
3.91%
1.30%
0.32%
1
12.12%
12.11%
6.05%
2.01%
0.50%
2
9.39%
9.37%
4.68%
1.56%
0.39%
3
4.84%
4.84%
2.42%
0.80%
0.20%
4
1.88%
1.87%
0.94%
0.31%
0.08%
5
0.58%
0.58%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-012.12%
2-09.39%
2-19.37%
3-04.84%
3-14.84%
3-22.42%
4-01.88%
4-11.87%
4-20.94%
4-30.31%
5-00.58%
5-10.58%
5-20.29%
Draw
0-07.83%
1-112.11%
2-24.68%
3-30.80%
Excelsior
0-17.82%
0-23.91%
1-26.05%
0-31.30%
1-32.01%
2-31.56%
0-40.32%
1-40.50%
2-40.39%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Sparta R'dam
Excelsior
Score0123
0
30.75%
14.22%
3.29%
0.51%
1
22.04%
10.19%
2.36%
0.36%
2
7.90%
3.65%
0.84%
0.13%
3
1.89%
0.87%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.34%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-022.04%
2-07.90%
2-13.65%
3-01.89%
3-10.87%
3-20.20%
4-00.34%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-030.75%
1-110.19%
2-20.84%
Excelsior
0-114.22%
0-23.29%
1-22.36%
0-30.51%
1-30.36%
2-30.13%